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Serie B
Referee: R Abisso
Carrarese
S U U T U
2–1
Full-time
Bari
U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Bari
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
43%
27%
Both score Ø 48%
43%
53%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Carrarese 16. · Bari 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 31 22 6 3 +39 72
2 Pisa 31 18 7 6 +22 61
3 Spezia 31 14 13 4 +22 55
4 Cremonese 31 13 10 8 +15 49
5 Catanzaro 31 10 16 5 +8 46
6 Juve Stabia 30 11 10 9 +0 43
7 Cesena 30 11 9 10 +2 42
8 Bari 30 8 16 6 +4 40
9 Palermo 30 10 9 11 +5 39
10 Modena 31 8 14 9 +1 38
11 Frosinone 31 8 12 11 -11 36
12 Cittadella 31 9 8 14 -20 35
13 Brescia 31 7 13 11 -6 34
14 Sudtirol 31 9 7 15 -10 34
15 Mantova 31 7 12 12 -10 33
16 Carrarese 30 8 9 13 -10 33
17 Sampdoria 31 6 14 11 -10 32
18 Reggiana 31 7 11 13 -10 32
19 Salernitana 30 7 9 14 -12 30
20 Cosenza 31 6 11 14 -19 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Oct -24 Bari – Carrarese 0–0

Match report

Carrarese Bari
23′
🟨 Ahmad Benali
29′
🟨 Mehdi Dorval
Samuel Giovane 🟨
33′
37′
L. Šimić 0–1
1–1 E. Torregrossa
M. Finotto
45′
Half-time 1–1
L. Cherubini 🔁
↦ S. Giovane
46′
47′
🟨 Nosa Edward Obaretin
2–1 G. Guarino
M. Cicconi
51′
T. Milanese 🔁
↦ E. Torregrossa
56′
60′
🟨 Lorenco Šimić
64′
🔁 K. Lasagna
↦ G. Pereiro
64′
🔁 F. Vicari
↦ L. Šimić
64′
🔁 A. Novakovich
↦ N. Bonfanti
64′
🔁 G. Maggiore
↦ Ahmad Benali
76′
🔁 N. Bellomo
↦ A. Oliveri
D. Bouah 🔁
↦ S. Zanon
77′
S. Shpendi 🔁
↦ M. Finotto
77′
A. Fontanarosa 🔁
↦ G. Guarino
84′
Manuel Cicconi 🟨
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Carrarese

3-5-2
98 V. Fiorillo G
4 J. Illanes D
34 G. Guarino D
3 M. Imperiale D
72 S. Zanon M
17 E. Zuelli M
18 N. Schiavi M
20 S. Giovane M
11 M. Cicconi M
32 M. Finotto F
92 E. Torregrossa F
Bench (12)
9 L. Cherubini
10 T. Milanese
13 D. Bouah
19 S. Shpendi
47 A. Fontanarosa
90 L. Cerri
28 G. Manzari
16 M. Cavion
5 F. Melegoni
30 N. Ravaglia
77 N. Belloni
82 L. Capezzi

Coach: A. Calabro

Bari

3-4-2-1
1 B. Radunović G
3 V. Mantovani D
44 L. Šimić D
55 N. Obaretin D
7 A. Oliveri M
4 M. Maita M
8 Ahmad Benali M
93 M. Dorval M
20 G. Pereiro F
19 C. Falletti F
11 N. Bonfanti F
Bench (12)
15 K. Lasagna
23 F. Vicari
9 A. Novakovich
21 G. Maggiore
10 N. Bellomo
99 A. Favilli
22 M. Pissardo
25 R. Pucino
94 C. Saco
27 C. Favasuli
13 A. Tripaldelli
17 R. Maiello

Coach: M. Longo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
3,14
B
3,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,23
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.