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Superligaen

Referee: A Uslu

Sonderjyske

T T U U S

1–4

Full-time

Aarhus

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 33%

24%

41%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

65%

41%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

59%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,07 xG 2,89

63% Possession 37%

12 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sonderjyske 10. · Aarhus 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	17	9	6	2	+13	+9.6	33
2	Midtjylland	17	10	3	4	+9	+2.0	33
3	Brondby	18	8	6	4	+12	+8.1	30
4	Randers FC	17	8	6	3	+12	+9.7	30
5	Aarhus	17	7	7	3	+13	+3.2	28
6	Silkeborg	18	6	8	4	+5	-1.2	26
7	Nordsjaelland	17	7	5	5	+1	+4.8	26
8	Viborg	18	5	6	7	-1	-3.7	21
9	Aalborg	17	4	5	8	-13	-11.1	17
10	Sonderjyske	17	4	4	9	-16	-9.0	16
11	Lyngby	17	1	7	9	-12	-4.0	10
12	Vejle	18	2	3	13	-23	-8.4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	FC Copenhagen	9	6	3	0	+10	+6.5	21
2	Midtjylland	8	7	0	1	+7	+4.2	21
3	Aarhus	9	5	4	0	+12	+3.3	19
4	Nordsjaelland	9	5	4	0	+9	+5.0	19
5	Brondby	9	5	3	1	+8	+4.4	18
6	Silkeborg	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.7	16
7	Randers FC	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.0	14
8	Viborg	8	4	2	2	+3	-2.2	14
9	Aalborg	8	3	2	3	-5	-4.4	11
10	Sonderjyske	8	2	3	3	-6	-5.0	9
11	Lyngby	9	1	4	4	-6	-0.8	7
12	Vejle	9	1	2	6	-11	-0.9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Randers FC	9	4	4	1	+6	+3.7	16
2	Brondby	9	3	3	3	+4	+3.6	12
3	FC Copenhagen	8	3	3	2	+3	+3.1	12
4	Midtjylland	9	3	3	3	+2	-2.2	12
5	Silkeborg	8	2	4	2	+2	-0.5	10
6	Aarhus	8	2	3	3	+1	-0.2	9
7	Viborg	10	1	4	5	-4	-1.5	7
8	Nordsjaelland	8	2	1	5	-8	-0.2	7
9	Sonderjyske	9	2	1	6	-10	-4.0	7
10	Aalborg	9	1	3	5	-8	-6.7	6
11	Vejle	9	1	1	7	-12	-7.5	4
12	Lyngby	8	0	3	5	-6	-3.1	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.