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Super League

Referee: F Brych

AEK

S S T U U

2–3

Full-time

PAOK

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 56%

61%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

43%

61%

Both score Ø 42%

29%

54%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Corners 1

5 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 2. · PAOK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	28	19	6	3	+29	63
2	AEK	28	17	6	5	+32	57
3	Panathinaikos	28	14	9	5	+7	51
4	PAOK	28	14	5	9	+24	47
5	Aris Thessalonikis	27	13	6	8	+5	45
6	Aris	27	13	6	8	+5	45
7	OFI Crete	29	12	6	11	+1	42
8	Atromitos	29	11	6	12	+0	39
9	Asteras Tripolis	30	11	6	13	-5	39
10	Panetolikos	29	10	6	13	-3	36
11	Levadeiakos	29	8	10	11	-2	34
12	Panserraikos	29	8	5	16	-19	29
13	Volos NFC	29	7	6	16	-21	27
14	Athens Kallithea	29	4	10	15	-19	22
15	Lamia	29	3	7	19	-34	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	10	4	0	+15	34
2	AEK	14	10	3	1	+26	33
3	Panathinaikos	14	9	4	1	+10	31
4	Aris Thessalonikis	13	8	3	2	+9	27
5	Aris	13	8	3	2	+9	27
6	Asteras Tripolis	16	7	1	8	-2	22
7	OFI Crete	15	6	3	6	+0	21
8	PAOK	14	6	2	6	+10	20
9	Panetolikos	15	6	2	7	+1	20
10	Panserraikos	15	4	5	6	-6	17
11	Levadeiakos	14	4	4	6	-1	16
12	Athens Kallithea	15	3	5	7	-8	14
13	Atromitos	14	3	4	7	-4	13
14	Lamia	14	2	3	9	-13	9
15	Volos NFC	14	1	4	9	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	9	2	3	+14	29
2	PAOK	14	8	3	3	+14	27
3	Atromitos	15	8	2	5	+4	26
4	AEK	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	OFI Crete	14	6	3	5	+1	21
6	Panathinaikos	14	5	5	4	-3	20
7	Volos NFC	15	6	2	7	-8	20
8	Levadeiakos	15	4	6	5	-1	18
9	Aris Thessalonikis	14	5	3	6	-4	18
10	Aris	14	5	3	6	-4	18
11	Asteras Tripolis	14	4	5	5	-3	17
12	Panetolikos	14	4	4	6	-4	16
13	Panserraikos	14	4	0	10	-13	12
14	Athens Kallithea	14	1	5	8	-11	8
15	Lamia	15	1	4	10	-21	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.