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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Oliveira

Belenenses

T U T T U

1–0

Full-time

Gil Vicente

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Gil Vicente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 33/34 matches

Win Ø 30%

24%

35%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

36%

50%

Both score Ø 49%

42%

56%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%

7 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 23

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Belenenses 15. · Gil Vicente 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	34	27	4	3	+56	85
2	Benfica	34	23	6	5	+41	75
3	Sp Lisbon	33	19	5	9	+18	62
4	Sp Braga	34	18	6	10	+22	60
5	Famalicao	35	16	11	8	+6	59
6	Rio Ave	35	16	10	9	+12	58
7	Guimaraes	34	13	11	10	+16	50
8	Gil Vicente	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Moreirense	34	10	15	9	+4	45
10	Santa Clara	35	11	11	13	-5	44
11	Boavista	35	11	9	15	-8	42
12	Maritimo	34	9	13	12	-7	40
13	Pacos Ferreira	34	11	5	18	-17	38
14	Portimonense	34	6	14	14	-16	32
15	Belenenses	33	8	8	17	-27	32
16	Tondela	34	7	10	17	-19	31
17	Setubal	32	6	12	14	-18	30
18	Vitoria Setubal	32	6	12	14	-18	30
19	Aves	34	6	2	26	-38	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	17	15	1	1	+36	46
2	Benfica	17	12	2	3	+25	38
3	Sp Lisbon	16	12	0	4	+12	36
4	Sp Braga	17	10	4	3	+13	34
5	Famalicao	18	8	6	4	+5	30
6	Guimaraes	17	8	4	5	+13	28
7	Gil Vicente	17	7	7	3	+5	28
8	Rio Ave	18	7	6	5	+5	27
9	Moreirense	17	6	7	4	+4	25
10	Maritimo	17	5	8	4	+3	23
11	Boavista	17	6	4	7	+1	22
12	Santa Clara	17	6	4	7	-3	22
13	Portimonense	17	4	8	5	-2	20
14	Pacos Ferreira	17	5	2	10	-9	17
15	Setubal	16	3	7	6	-7	16
16	Vitoria Setubal	16	3	7	6	-7	16
17	Aves	17	5	1	11	-9	16
18	Belenenses	17	4	4	9	-14	16
19	Tondela	17	2	5	10	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	17	12	3	2	+20	39
2	Benfica	17	11	4	2	+16	37
3	Rio Ave	17	9	4	4	+7	31
4	Famalicao	17	8	5	4	+1	29
5	Sp Braga	17	8	2	7	+9	26
6	Sp Lisbon	17	7	5	5	+6	26
7	Guimaraes	17	5	7	5	+3	22
8	Santa Clara	18	5	7	6	-2	22
9	Pacos Ferreira	17	6	3	8	-8	21
10	Moreirense	17	4	8	5	+0	20
11	Tondela	17	5	5	7	-5	20
12	Boavista	18	5	5	8	-9	20
13	Gil Vicente	17	5	3	9	-7	18
14	Maritimo	17	4	5	8	-10	17
15	Belenenses	16	4	4	8	-13	16
16	Setubal	16	3	5	8	-11	14
17	Vitoria Setubal	16	3	5	8	-11	14
18	Portimonense	17	2	6	9	-14	12
19	Aves	17	1	1	15	-29	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.