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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Sevilla

S S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Valencia

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 44%

49%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

38%

43%

Both score Ø 54%

51%

57%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 6

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 4. · Valencia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	37	26	8	3	+45	86
2	Barcelona	38	25	7	6	+48	82
3	Ath Madrid	37	18	15	4	+24	69
4	Sevilla	37	18	13	6	+19	67
5	Villarreal	38	18	6	14	+14	60
6	Sociedad	37	16	7	14	+8	55
7	Getafe	37	14	12	11	+7	54
8	Granada	37	15	8	14	+3	53
9	Valencia	37	14	11	12	-6	53
10	Ath Bilbao	37	13	12	12	+7	51
11	Osasuna	37	13	12	12	-8	51
12	Levante	37	13	7	17	-7	46
13	Valladolid	38	9	15	14	-11	42
14	Eibar	38	11	9	18	-17	42
15	Betis	38	10	11	17	-12	41
16	Alaves	38	10	9	19	-25	39
17	Celta	37	7	15	15	-12	36
18	Leganes	37	8	11	18	-21	35
19	Mallorca	37	9	5	23	-25	32
20	Espanol	37	5	9	23	-31	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	16	2	1	+36	50
2	Real Madrid	19	15	4	0	+29	49
3	Ath Madrid	18	12	5	1	+17	41
4	Valencia	19	11	7	1	+13	40
5	Sevilla	18	9	7	2	+11	34
6	Villarreal	19	9	5	5	+12	32
7	Sociedad	19	9	4	6	+13	31
8	Betis	19	9	4	6	+7	31
9	Ath Bilbao	19	9	4	6	+7	31
10	Granada	18	9	3	6	+6	30
11	Getafe	19	8	6	5	+5	30
12	Levante	18	8	5	5	+7	29
13	Mallorca	19	8	3	8	+3	27
14	Alaves	19	7	6	6	+1	27
15	Eibar	19	8	3	8	+0	27
16	Osasuna	18	7	6	5	-3	27
17	Valladolid	19	5	10	4	+3	25
18	Celta	19	5	8	6	+2	23
19	Leganes	18	5	4	9	-9	19
20	Espanol	18	2	5	11	-16	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	18	11	4	3	+16	37
2	Sevilla	19	9	6	4	+8	33
3	Barcelona	19	9	5	5	+12	32
4	Ath Madrid	19	6	10	3	+7	28
5	Villarreal	19	9	1	9	+2	28
6	Getafe	18	6	6	6	+2	24
7	Sociedad	18	7	3	8	-5	24
8	Osasuna	19	6	6	7	-5	24
9	Granada	19	6	5	8	-3	23
10	Ath Bilbao	18	4	8	6	+0	20
11	Levante	19	5	2	12	-14	17
12	Valladolid	19	4	5	10	-14	17
13	Leganes	19	3	7	9	-12	16
14	Eibar	19	3	6	10	-17	15
15	Celta	18	2	7	9	-14	13
16	Espanol	19	3	4	12	-15	13
17	Valencia	18	3	4	11	-19	13
18	Alaves	19	3	3	13	-26	12
19	Betis	19	1	7	11	-19	10
20	Mallorca	18	1	2	15	-28	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.