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Super League

Referee: A Papapetrou

Olympiakos

U S S T S

3–0

Full-time

AEK

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,2

2,5

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

This season — Super League · 39/39 matches

Win Ø 68%

79%

56%

Points per game

2,6

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

51%

46%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

49%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%

8 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 1. · AEK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	39	31	7	1	+62	100
2	AEK	39	22	11	6	+34	77
3	PAOK	39	22	11	6	+29	77
4	Panathinaikos	39	16	14	9	+9	62
5	Atromitos	35	12	10	13	-1	46
6	Asteras Tripolis	35	11	11	13	+1	44
7	Aris	36	10	12	14	-3	42
8	Aris Thessalonikis	35	10	11	14	-3	41
9	Larisa	35	9	13	13	-9	40
10	OFI Crete	39	11	7	21	-13	40
11	Lamia	35	6	19	10	-13	37
12	Xanthi	35	9	9	17	-15	36
13	Volos NFC	35	9	7	19	-30	34
14	Panetolikos	35	7	11	17	-18	32
15	Panionios	35	7	9	19	-30	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	19	17	1	1	+36	52
2	AEK	20	10	8	2	+19	38
3	PAOK	19	11	5	3	+18	38
4	Panathinaikos	19	10	5	4	+15	35
5	OFI Crete	20	9	4	7	+9	31
6	Asteras Tripolis	18	7	8	3	+11	29
7	Atromitos	18	6	8	4	+8	26
8	Aris Thessalonikis	18	8	2	8	+6	26
9	Aris	18	8	2	8	+6	26
10	Volos NFC	17	7	4	6	-2	25
11	Larisa	18	6	6	6	+3	24
12	Panetolikos	17	6	6	5	+2	24
13	Lamia	18	4	11	3	-1	23
14	Xanthi	17	5	6	6	+0	21
15	Panionios	17	5	5	7	-2	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	20	14	6	0	+26	48
2	AEK	19	12	3	4	+15	39
3	PAOK	20	11	6	3	+11	39
4	Panathinaikos	20	6	9	5	-6	27
5	Atromitos	17	6	2	9	-9	20
6	Aris	18	2	10	6	-9	16
7	Larisa	17	3	7	7	-12	16
8	Aris Thessalonikis	17	2	9	6	-9	15
9	Asteras Tripolis	17	4	3	10	-10	15
10	Xanthi	18	4	3	11	-15	15
11	Lamia	17	2	8	7	-12	14
12	Panionios	18	2	4	12	-28	10
13	OFI Crete	19	2	3	14	-22	9
14	Volos NFC	18	2	3	13	-28	9
15	Panetolikos	18	1	5	12	-20	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.