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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Nyberg

Sirius

U T T S T

2–3

Full-time

Varnamo

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Allsvenskan · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

24%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

43%

52%

Both score Ø 45%

33%

57%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

66% Possession 34%

20 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

12 Corners 3

12 Free kicks against 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 10. · Varnamo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	21	13	6	2	+22	45
2	Djurgarden	21	13	5	3	+27	44
3	Hammarby	21	12	4	5	+23	40
4	AIK	21	11	6	4	+10	39
5	Goteborg	21	11	3	7	+12	36
6	Kalmar	21	11	3	7	+7	36
7	Malmo FF	21	10	4	7	+8	34
8	Mjallby	21	8	7	6	+0	31
9	Elfsborg	21	6	9	6	+7	27
10	Sirius	21	7	4	10	-9	25
11	Norrkoping	21	6	6	9	-2	24
12	Varnamo	21	5	7	9	-12	22
13	Varberg	21	5	6	10	-17	21
14	Degerfors	21	4	4	13	-23	16
15	Helsingborg	21	3	5	13	-17	14
16	Sundsvall	21	3	1	17	-36	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	10	9	1	0	+23	28
2	Kalmar	11	8	1	2	+8	25
3	Hammarby	11	7	3	1	+18	24
4	AIK	11	7	3	1	+10	24
5	Hacken	11	7	2	2	+13	23
6	Malmo FF	10	7	1	2	+12	22
7	Elfsborg	10	5	4	1	+9	19
8	Goteborg	10	5	3	2	+7	18
9	Mjallby	11	4	5	2	+2	17
10	Sirius	10	5	0	5	+0	15
11	Norrkoping	11	4	2	5	+3	14
12	Varnamo	10	3	5	2	+2	14
13	Varberg	11	3	4	4	-6	13
14	Degerfors	10	3	3	4	-6	12
15	Helsingborg	11	2	3	6	-7	9
16	Sundsvall	10	3	0	7	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	10	6	4	0	+9	22
2	Goteborg	11	6	0	5	+5	18
3	Hammarby	10	5	1	4	+5	16
4	Djurgarden	11	4	4	3	+4	16
5	AIK	10	4	3	3	+0	15
6	Mjallby	10	4	2	4	-2	14
7	Malmo FF	11	3	3	5	-4	12
8	Kalmar	10	3	2	5	-1	11
9	Norrkoping	10	2	4	4	-5	10
10	Sirius	11	2	4	5	-9	10
11	Elfsborg	11	1	5	5	-2	8
12	Varberg	10	2	2	6	-11	8
13	Varnamo	11	2	2	7	-14	8
14	Helsingborg	10	1	2	7	-10	5
15	Degerfors	11	1	1	9	-17	4
16	Sundsvall	11	0	1	10	-23	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.