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Allsvenskan

Referee: R Sundell

GAIS

S T S S T

2–1

Full-time

Elfsborg

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

56%

44%

Points per game

1,7

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

56%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,6

3,6

Scored

1,2

1,9

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,17 xG 0,80

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 2

4 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 6. · Elfsborg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	9	8	0	1	+19	+10.1	24
2	Djurgarden	9	6	1	2	+12	+0.8	19
3	Mjallby	9	5	2	2	+8	+1.0	17
4	Hacken	9	5	1	3	+3	-1.4	16
5	Hammarby	10	5	0	5	+0	+1.2	15
6	GAIS	9	5	0	4	-1	-1.4	15
7	Halmstad	9	5	0	4	-2	-3.6	15
8	AIK	10	4	2	4	-4	-2.5	14
9	Elfsborg	9	4	1	4	+2	+2.5	13
10	Brommapojkarna	10	3	4	3	-2	+2.3	13
11	Sirius	9	3	2	4	-2	+1.4	11
12	Varnamo	9	3	2	4	-5	-4.5	11
13	Norrkoping	10	3	2	5	-9	-3.6	11
14	Goteborg	9	2	2	5	-5	-1.7	8
15	Kalmar	9	2	1	6	-4	-2.9	7
16	Vasteras SK	9	1	0	8	-10	+2.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.1	12
2	AIK	5	4	0	1	+7	-0.3	12
3	Hammarby	5	4	0	1	+6	+1.2	12
4	Mjallby	5	3	2	0	+7	+0.7	11
5	Elfsborg	5	3	1	1	+8	+1.8	10
6	Djurgarden	5	3	1	1	+4	-2.1	10
7	Hacken	5	3	0	2	+2	-1.4	9
8	Halmstad	5	3	0	2	+1	-0.2	9
9	GAIS	4	3	0	1	+0	-0.1	9
10	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.2	6
11	Brommapojkarna	5	1	2	2	-7	-0.1	5
12	Kalmar	5	1	1	3	+0	-1.4	4
13	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-1	+1.5	4
14	Vasteras SK	5	1	0	4	-5	+1.9	3
15	Varnamo	4	0	1	3	-7	-2.1	1
16	Goteborg	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	5	4	0	1	+10	+7.0	12
2	Varnamo	5	3	1	1	+2	-2.4	10
3	Djurgarden	4	3	0	1	+8	+2.8	9
4	Brommapojkarna	5	2	2	1	+5	+2.4	8
5	Goteborg	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.9	7
6	Hacken	4	2	1	1	+1	–	7
7	Sirius	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.0	7
8	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
9	GAIS	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.3	6
10	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-3	-3.4	6
11	Norrkoping	6	1	2	3	-7	-0.3	5
12	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	-4	-1.6	3
13	Hammarby	5	1	0	4	-6	–	3
14	Elfsborg	4	1	0	3	-6	+0.6	3
15	AIK	5	0	2	3	-11	-2.2	2
16	Vasteras SK	4	0	0	4	-5	+0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.