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Allsvenskan

Referee: T Olofsson

AIK

U S U U S

2–0

Full-time

Varnamo

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,09 xG 0,91

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AIK 2. · Varnamo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	4	4	0	0	+11	+3.8	12
2	AIK	4	2	2	0	+3	-2.2	8
3	Brommapojkarna	4	2	1	1	+5	+2.4	7
4	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+3	+3.3	7
5	Mjallby	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.9	7
6	Hacken	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.3	7
7	Hammarby	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.0	6
8	Sirius	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.0	6
9	GAIS	4	2	0	2	-3	+0.2	6
10	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-3	-4.2	6
11	Elfsborg	4	1	1	2	-3	+1.8	4
12	Goteborg	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.8	4
13	Varnamo	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.7	4
14	Norrkoping	4	1	1	2	-6	-2.6	4
15	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	-3	-2.9	3
16	Vasteras SK	4	0	0	4	-4	+2.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
2	AIK	2	2	0	0	+3	-1.5	6
3	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
4	Hacken	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.3	6
5	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.7	4
6	Djurgarden	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.0	4
7	Sirius	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
8	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	3
9	Norrkoping	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
10	GAIS	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.1	3
11	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
12	Elfsborg	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.8	1
13	Goteborg	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.2	1
14	Kalmar	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.4	0
15	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.0	0
16	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	+3.8	6
2	Brommapojkarna	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.4	6
3	Varnamo	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.3	4
4	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	+3.3	3
5	GAIS	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
6	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
7	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
8	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
9	Sirius	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
10	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-2	-4.0	3
11	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
12	AIK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
13	Hacken	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
14	Norrkoping	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
15	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.4	0
16	Hammarby	2	0	0	2	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.