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Allsvenskan

Referee: Olofsson

Varnamo

T T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Goteborg

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Goteborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,40 xG 0,72

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

18 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 14. · Goteborg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.7	6
2	Degerfors	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.3	6
3	AIK	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.9	6
4	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.4	6
5	Mjallby	3	1	2	0	+3	+0.7	5
6	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+1	+2.2	4
7	Oster	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.9	3
8	Sirius	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.2	3
9	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
10	Norrkoping	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.5	3
11	Hacken	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.2	3
12	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.4	3
13	GAIS	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.5	1
14	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.8	0
15	Brommapojkarna	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.3	0
16	Halmstad	2	0	0	2	-6	-6.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
2	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.4	3
3	Oster	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
4	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.5	3
5	Norrkoping	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
8	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
9	Hacken	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.3	3
10	Mjallby	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
11	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
12	Sirius	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
13	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
15	Brommapojkarna	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
16	Halmstad	1	0	0	1	-5	-4.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	-1.2	4
2	Degerfors	1	1	0	0	+5	+4.1	3
3	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.3	3
4	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
5	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
6	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
8	GAIS	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
9	Oster	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
10	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
11	Halmstad	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
12	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
13	Brommapojkarna	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
14	Hacken	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0
15	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.5	0
16	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.