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Allsvenskan

Referee: Richard Sundell

Oster

S T T T T

0–3

Full-time

Hammarby

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oster Hammarby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,78 xG 1,66

35% Possession 65%

9 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oster 15. · Hammarby 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	7	5	2	0	+6	-0.1	17
2	Mjallby	6	4	2	0	+10	+0.2	14
3	Hammarby	6	4	1	1	+8	+3.3	13
4	Malmo FF	6	3	2	1	+2	+3.2	11
5	Degerfors	7	3	1	3	+1	+1.8	10
6	Elfsborg	6	3	1	2	+1	+2.7	10
7	Hacken	7	3	1	3	-1	+1.0	10
8	Goteborg	6	3	1	2	-2	+1.2	10
9	Norrkoping	7	3	0	4	+0	-0.6	9
10	Djurgarden	6	2	2	2	-1	+2.1	8
11	GAIS	6	1	4	1	+1	-2.0	7
12	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	+0	+0.2	7
13	Halmstad	7	2	1	4	-8	-5.9	7
14	Sirius	7	1	3	3	-4	-4.2	6
15	Oster	6	1	0	5	-4	-1.9	3
16	Varnamo	7	0	0	7	-9	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+8	+2.8	9
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.9	7
3	Elfsborg	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.2	7
4	AIK	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.5	7
5	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+3	+4.2	7
6	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
7	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-4	-2.7	6
8	Djurgarden	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.0	5
9	GAIS	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.2	4
10	Goteborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+3.2	4
11	Degerfors	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.7	4
12	Hacken	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.3	4
13	Oster	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
14	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.2	3
15	Sirius	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.3	1
16	Varnamo	4	0	0	4	-5	-0.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	4	3	1	0	+3	-0.6	10
2	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+5	-1.7	7
3	Degerfors	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.5	6
4	Hacken	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.3	6
5	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	-2	-2.1	6
6	Sirius	4	1	2	1	+0	-2.9	5
7	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+1	–	4
8	Hammarby	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
9	Malmo FF	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.0	4
10	GAIS	3	0	3	0	+0	-2.2	3
11	Norrkoping	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.9	3
12	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
13	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-2	+0.5	3
14	Halmstad	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
15	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-4	-1.0	0
16	Oster	4	0	0	4	-5	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.