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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Nyberg
Malmo FF
S S S S S
3–1
Full-time
AIK
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF AIK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
2,8
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,5
Scored
2,8
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 1. · AIK 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 6 6 0 0 +14 18
2 Hacken 6 5 0 1 +10 15
3 Elfsborg 6 4 1 1 +10 13
4 Kalmar 6 3 2 1 +5 11
5 Norrkoping 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 Brommapojkarna 6 3 0 3 -3 9
7 Mjallby 6 2 2 2 +0 8
8 Djurgarden 6 2 1 3 -3 7
9 Varnamo 6 2 0 4 -3 6
10 Hammarby 6 2 0 4 -4 6
11 Degerfors 6 2 0 4 -8 6
12 Halmstad 6 2 0 4 -8 6
13 Sirius 6 0 5 1 -3 5
14 AIK 6 1 2 3 -3 5
15 Goteborg 6 1 1 4 +1 4
16 Varberg 6 0 4 2 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF AIK
8′
O. Faraj 0–1
10′
🟨 Axel Bjornström
1–1 S. Vecchia
J. Ceesay
10′
2–1 S. Nanasi
Busanello
15′
22′
🟨 Alexander Milošević
Busanello 🟨
36′
36′
🟨 Omar Faraj
3–1 A. Christiansen
H. Larsson
40′
41′
🔁 A. Fesshaie
↦ V. Fischer
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ Rui Modesto
47′
🟨 Aboubakar Keita
T. Ali 🔁
↦ S. Vecchia
68′
68′
🔁 Z. Elbouzedi
↦ O. Faraj
S. Rieks 🔁
↦ A. Christiansen
75′
A. Tinnerholm 🔁
↦ S. Peña
84′
O. Lewicki 🔁
↦ S. Nanasi
84′
86′
🔁 J. Durmaz
↦ R. Tihi
86′
🔁 T. Ayari
↦ B. Hussein
93′
🟨 Alexander Fesshaie
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-2-3-1
27 J. Dahlin G
15 J. Ceesay D
19 D. Cornelius D
24 L. Nielsen D
25 Busanello D
8 S. Peña M
31 H. Larsson M
11 S. Nanasi M
10 A. Christiansen M
21 S. Vecchia M
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
Bench (9)
22 T. Ali
5 S. Rieks
2 A. Tinnerholm
6 O. Lewicki
20 M. Zeidan
38 H. Bolin
1 M. Ellborg
36 P. Sejdiu
13 M. Olsson

Coach: H. Rydström

AIK

3-5-2
15 K. Nordfeldt G
16 R. Tihi D
5 A. Milošević D
6 J. Haliti D
32 Rui Modesto M
8 B. Hussein M
22 A. Keita M
14 A. Magashy M
12 A. Björnström M
9 O. Faraj F
7 V. Fischer F
Bench (8)
47 A. Fesshaie
11 J. Guidetti
20 Z. Elbouzedi
10 J. Durmaz
45 T. Ayari
18 A. Ali
23 B. Janošević
4 S. Papagiannopoulos

Coach: A. Brännström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.