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Allsvenskan

Referee: J Östling

Malmo FF

S S S S S

5–0

Full-time

AIK

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

0,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 80%

100%

60%

Points per game

3,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

40%

20%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

2,6

1,6

Conceded

0,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

+2,4

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,66 xG 0,42

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 1. · AIK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	5	5	0	0	+12	+5.6	15
2	AIK	5	3	2	0	+5	-1.0	11
3	Hacken	5	3	1	1	+2	-2.3	10
4	GAIS	5	3	0	2	-2	+0.2	9
5	Halmstad	5	3	0	2	-2	-4.2	9
6	Brommapojkarna	5	2	2	1	+5	+2.5	8
7	Djurgarden	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.4	7
8	Mjallby	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.0	7
9	Sirius	5	2	1	2	+1	+2.0	7
10	Norrkoping	5	2	1	2	-4	-3.2	7
11	Hammarby	5	2	0	3	+1	+1.0	6
12	Goteborg	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.8	4
13	Elfsborg	5	1	1	3	-5	+2.5	4
14	Varnamo	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.9	4
15	Vasteras SK	5	1	0	4	-3	+2.3	3
16	Kalmar	5	1	0	4	-4	-2.9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	3	3	0	0	+5	-0.3	9
2	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
3	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
4	Hacken	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.3	6
5	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.2	6
6	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.2	6
7	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.7	4
8	Djurgarden	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.9	4
9	Sirius	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
10	Vasteras SK	3	1	0	2	-1	+1.9	3
11	GAIS	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.1	3
12	Brommapojkarna	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
13	Elfsborg	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.8	1
14	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.2	1
15	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-3	-1.4	0
16	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.6	9
2	Brommapojkarna	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.4	6
3	GAIS	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
4	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
5	Varnamo	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
6	Sirius	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.0	4
7	Djurgarden	2	1	0	1	+1	+3.3	3
8	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
9	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
10	Mjallby	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.3	3
11	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-2	-4.0	3
12	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.6	3
13	AIK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
14	Norrkoping	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
15	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.4	0
16	Hammarby	3	0	0	3	-4	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.