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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Ladebäck

Elfsborg

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Degerfors

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 48%

71%

25%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

57%

61%

Both score Ø 48%

39%

57%

Average goals

2,9

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,65 xG 1,10

58% Possession 42%

23 Shots 11

11 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 9

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 1. · Degerfors 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	28	20	3	5	+34	+5.0	63
2	Malmo FF	29	19	4	6	+34	+10.4	61
3	Hacken	29	18	3	8	+31	+7.7	57
4	Djurgarden	29	15	5	9	+6	+2.6	50
5	Varnamo	29	14	3	12	+5	+0.8	45
6	Hammarby	29	11	10	8	+2	+1.3	43
7	Kalmar	29	12	6	11	-6	-5.4	42
8	Sirius	29	11	6	12	+5	+7.9	39
9	Norrkoping	28	11	5	12	+1	+2.3	38
10	Mjallby	28	11	5	12	-2	-1.9	38
11	Halmstad	29	9	8	12	-14	-5.2	35
12	AIK	28	8	8	12	-6	-0.0	32
13	Goteborg	28	7	9	12	-5	-0.3	30
14	Brommapojkarna	28	8	3	17	-15	-3.2	27
15	Degerfors	28	7	4	17	-31	-10.2	25
16	Varberg	28	3	6	19	-39	-11.8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	15	14	0	1	+31	+4.6	42
2	Malmo FF	14	10	3	1	+26	+4.0	33
3	Elfsborg	14	10	2	2	+20	+1.1	32
4	Djurgarden	15	10	2	3	+10	+4.9	32
5	Hammarby	14	8	4	2	+8	+0.3	28
6	Kalmar	14	7	3	4	-1	-2.7	24
7	AIK	14	5	6	3	+5	+4.7	21
8	Norrkoping	14	6	2	6	+1	-0.8	20
9	Varnamo	15	6	2	7	+0	+1.9	20
10	Halmstad	15	5	5	5	-3	-2.5	20
11	Sirius	14	6	1	7	+6	+8.3	19
12	Goteborg	14	5	3	6	+6	+0.7	18
13	Degerfors	14	5	2	7	-5	-2.4	17
14	Mjallby	14	4	3	7	-3	-4.1	15
15	Brommapojkarna	14	4	2	8	-6	-0.0	14
16	Varberg	14	1	4	9	-19	-2.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	14	10	1	3	+14	+4.0	31
2	Malmo FF	15	9	1	5	+8	+6.4	28
3	Varnamo	14	8	1	5	+5	-1.1	25
4	Mjallby	14	7	2	5	+1	+2.2	23
5	Sirius	15	5	5	5	-1	-0.4	20
6	Norrkoping	14	5	3	6	+0	+3.1	18
7	Djurgarden	14	5	3	6	-4	-2.4	18
8	Kalmar	15	5	3	7	-5	-2.7	18
9	Hacken	14	4	3	7	+0	+3.1	15
10	Hammarby	15	3	6	6	-6	+1.0	15
11	Halmstad	14	4	3	7	-11	-2.7	15
12	Brommapojkarna	14	4	1	9	-9	-3.2	13
13	Goteborg	14	2	6	6	-11	-1.0	12
14	AIK	14	3	2	9	-11	-4.8	11
15	Varberg	14	2	2	10	-20	-9.7	8
16	Degerfors	14	2	2	10	-26	-7.8	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.