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Ligue 2

Referee: K Abed

Pau FC

U S U T S

2–1

Full-time

Guingamp

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 35%

37%

33%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

63%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

9 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 9. · Guingamp 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	30	17	7	6	+20	58
2	St Etienne	30	17	6	7	+22	57
3	Le Mans	30	14	12	4	+16	54
4	Reims	30	12	12	6	+15	48
5	Red Star	29	13	9	7	+6	48
6	Rodez	30	12	12	6	+3	48
7	Montpellier	30	12	8	10	+8	44
8	Annecy	30	12	7	11	+2	43
9	Pau FC	30	11	9	10	-7	42
10	Dunkerque	30	10	10	10	+8	40
11	Guingamp	30	10	10	10	-3	40
12	Boulogne	30	9	9	12	-8	36
13	Grenoble	30	6	14	10	-7	32
14	Clermont	30	7	9	14	-7	30
15	Nancy	30	7	9	14	-16	30
16	Laval	30	4	13	13	-17	25
17	Amiens	30	6	6	18	-18	24
18	Bastia	29	3	12	14	-17	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	15	12	1	2	+18	37
2	St Etienne	15	10	2	3	+19	32
3	Le Mans	15	8	5	2	+11	29
4	Reims	14	7	4	3	+9	25
5	Montpellier	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Rodez	15	6	7	2	+4	25
7	Annecy	15	6	6	3	+7	24
8	Red Star	15	6	6	3	-1	24
9	Guingamp	16	6	5	5	-2	23
10	Dunkerque	15	5	7	3	+8	22
11	Grenoble	15	4	9	2	-1	21
12	Clermont	15	4	5	6	+0	17
13	Pau FC	15	4	5	6	-5	17
14	Boulogne	15	4	3	8	-8	15
15	Nancy	15	4	3	8	-10	15
16	Bastia	14	2	5	7	-10	11
17	Laval	15	1	7	7	-9	10
18	Amiens	15	2	3	10	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Mans	15	6	7	2	+5	25
2	St Etienne	15	7	4	4	+3	25
3	Pau FC	15	7	4	4	-2	25
4	Red Star	14	7	3	4	+7	24
5	Reims	16	5	8	3	+6	23
6	Rodez	15	6	5	4	-1	23
7	Troyes	15	5	6	4	+2	21
8	Boulogne	15	5	6	4	+0	21
9	Montpellier	15	5	4	6	+1	19
10	Annecy	15	6	1	8	-5	19
11	Dunkerque	15	5	3	7	+0	18
12	Guingamp	14	4	5	5	-1	17
13	Nancy	15	3	6	6	-6	15
14	Amiens	15	4	3	8	-7	15
15	Laval	15	3	6	6	-8	15
16	Clermont	15	3	4	8	-7	13
17	Grenoble	15	2	5	8	-6	11
18	Bastia	15	1	7	7	-7	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.