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Allsvenskan

Referee: Richard Sundell

Elfsborg

S T T U T

1–2

Full-time

Degerfors

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 34%

46%

21%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

46%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

2,30 xG 1,61

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 8. · Degerfors 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	24	17	6	1	+27	+2.2	57
2	Hammarby	24	15	4	5	+25	+16.8	49
3	AIK	24	12	7	5	+8	+7.3	43
4	GAIS	24	11	8	5	+12	+11.0	41
5	Goteborg	24	13	2	9	+4	+0.8	41
6	Malmo FF	24	10	9	5	+15	+13.3	39
7	Djurgarden	24	10	8	6	+9	+6.1	38
8	Elfsborg	24	11	4	9	+3	-0.5	37
9	Brommapojkarna	24	9	2	13	+0	-2.2	29
10	Norrkoping	24	8	5	11	-8	-9.5	29
11	Sirius	24	7	5	12	-3	-1.2	26
12	Hacken	24	7	5	12	-11	+3.3	26
13	Halmstad	24	7	4	13	-24	-12.8	25
14	Oster	24	5	7	12	-13	-11.6	22
15	Degerfors	24	5	4	15	-22	-6.0	19
16	Varnamo	24	2	6	16	-22	-17.1	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	13	10	1	2	+20	+14.2	31
2	Mjallby	12	8	4	0	+13	+4.6	28
3	AIK	11	7	4	0	+12	+5.5	25
4	Elfsborg	12	6	3	3	+6	+0.4	21
5	GAIS	12	6	3	3	+6	+7.5	21
6	Malmo FF	12	5	4	3	+7	+9.3	19
7	Goteborg	12	6	1	5	+4	+3.3	19
8	Djurgarden	12	4	6	2	+4	+5.5	18
9	Norrkoping	13	5	1	7	-5	-1.3	16
10	Sirius	12	4	2	6	+0	+2.0	14
11	Halmstad	12	4	2	6	-11	-5.6	14
12	Brommapojkarna	11	4	0	7	-2	+0.4	12
13	Hacken	12	3	2	7	-8	+5.7	11
14	Varnamo	13	2	4	7	-9	-7.8	10
15	Oster	11	2	3	6	-6	-3.0	9
16	Degerfors	12	1	3	8	-14	-1.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	12	9	2	1	+14	-2.4	29
2	Goteborg	12	7	1	4	+0	-2.6	22
3	Malmo FF	12	5	5	2	+8	+3.9	20
4	GAIS	12	5	5	2	+6	+3.5	20
5	Djurgarden	12	6	2	4	+5	+0.6	20
6	Hammarby	11	5	3	3	+5	+2.6	18
7	AIK	13	5	3	5	-4	+1.9	18
8	Brommapojkarna	13	5	2	6	+2	-2.6	17
9	Elfsborg	12	5	1	6	-3	-0.9	16
10	Hacken	12	4	3	5	-3	-2.4	15
11	Norrkoping	11	3	4	4	-3	-8.3	13
12	Oster	13	3	4	6	-7	-8.6	13
13	Degerfors	12	4	1	7	-8	-4.9	13
14	Sirius	12	3	3	6	-3	-3.1	12
15	Halmstad	12	3	2	7	-13	-7.2	11
16	Varnamo	11	0	2	9	-13	-9.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.