Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Zaglebie
Podbeskidzie
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | +21 | 51 |
| 2 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | +13 | 44 |
| 3 |
Rakow
|
23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | +6 | 37 |
| 5 |
Piast Gliwice
|
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | +6 | 34 |
| 6 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | +4 | 34 |
| 7 |
Warta Poznan
|
24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | +0 | 33 |
| 8 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 9 |
Jagiellonia
|
24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 |
Lech Poznan
|
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | +1 | 29 |
| 11 |
Zaglebie
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 |
Wisla
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | +1 | 28 |
| 13 |
Cracovia
|
24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 |
Wisla Plock
|
24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | -10 | 25 |
| 15 |
Podbeskidzie
|
23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -25 | 21 |
| 16 |
Stal Mielec
|
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -15 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lechia Gdansk
Zaglebie
Zaglebie
Legia
Gornik Zabrze
Zaglebie
Zaglebie
Jagiellonia
Cracovia
Zaglebie
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.