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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Groningen
S T U T S
0–2
Full-time
Heerenveen
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 27/28 matches
Win Ø 39%
48%
29%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
41%
54%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
61%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 6. · Heerenveen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 27 22 3 2 +65 69
2 AZ Alkmaar 29 18 7 4 +28 61
3 PSV Eindhoven 28 17 7 4 +32 58
4 Vitesse 29 17 5 7 +18 56
5 Feyenoord 27 15 7 5 +29 52
6 Groningen 27 13 6 8 +4 45
7 Utrecht 26 11 8 7 +9 41
8 Heracles 29 11 6 12 -8 39
9 Twente 29 9 10 10 +2 37
10 Heerenveen 28 8 10 10 -3 34
11 For Sittard 29 10 4 15 -12 34
12 Sparta Rotterdam 28 9 6 13 -6 33
13 Zwolle 29 7 11 11 -8 32
14 Waalwijk 28 6 8 14 -16 26
15 Willem II 29 5 7 17 -30 22
16 VVV Venlo 28 6 4 18 -34 22
17 FC Emmen 29 4 9 16 -28 21
18 Den Haag 29 2 10 17 -42 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Heerenveen
Mike te Wierik 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
P. Joosten 🔁
↦ T. Suslov
46′
46′
🔁 L. Woudenberg
↦ R. Kaib
62′
🔁 R. Hajal
↦ S. de Jong
69′
ℹ️ Sherel Floranus
VAR: Goal cancelled
71′
H. Veerman 0–1
A. Robben 🔁
↦ A. da Cruz
78′
R. Lundqvist 🔁
↦ A. El Messaoudi
78′
P. Abraham 🔁
↦ W. Dammers
85′
86′
T. Halilović 0–2
J. Veerman
87′
🔁 R. Kongolo
↦ L. Schöne
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
32 M. te Wierik D
4 W. Dammers D
5 K. Itakura D
18 A. El Messaoudi M
26 D. van Kaam M
21 A. da Cruz M
15 G. Gudmundsson D
11 M. El Hankouri M
9 J. Larsen F
31 T. Suslov M
Bench (10)
14 P. Joosten
10 A. Robben
7 R. Lundqvist
19 P. Abraham
8 S. Schreck
17 Migue Leal
25 J. de Boer
3 B. van Hintum
2 D. Dankerlui
23 P. Bråtveit

Coach: D. Buijs

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 E. Mulder G
2 S. Floranus D
14 I. Dresevic D
41 R. Kaib D
3 J. van Hecke D
43 L. Schöne M
6 S. de Jong M
44 T. Halilović F
20 J. Veerman M
9 H. Veerman F
11 M. van Bergen F
Bench (10)
5 L. Woudenberg
17 R. Hajal
21 R. Kongolo
8 B. Nygren
23 J. Bekkema
10 O. Batista-Meier
42 S. van Ottele
22 A. Harush
15 S. Dewaele
16 A. van der Heide

Coach: J. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,28
U
3,30
B ✓
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.