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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Ath Bilbao
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Getafe
T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
36%
21%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
39%
36%
Both score Ø 41%
46%
36%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%
22 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 10
8 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Getafe 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 28 20 6 2 +38 66
2 Sevilla 28 15 11 2 +21 56
3 Barcelona 27 14 9 4 +23 51
4 Ath Madrid 28 15 6 7 +16 51
5 Betis 28 15 4 9 +15 49
6 Sociedad 28 13 8 7 +0 47
7 Villarreal 28 12 9 7 +22 45
8 Ath Bilbao 28 10 10 8 +5 40
9 Valencia 28 9 10 9 -2 37
10 Celta 28 9 8 11 +1 35
11 Osasuna 28 9 8 11 -9 35
12 Espanol 28 8 9 11 -7 33
13 Vallecano 27 9 5 13 -4 32
14 Elche 28 8 8 12 -9 32
15 Getafe 28 6 10 12 -6 28
16 Mallorca 28 6 8 14 -22 26
17 Granada 28 5 10 13 -16 25
18 Cadiz 28 4 12 12 -17 24
19 Alaves 28 5 7 16 -24 22
20 Levante 28 3 10 15 -25 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Getafe
-5′
🟥 Jakub Jankto
3′
E. Ünal 0–1
D. Dakonam
25′
🟨 Stefan Mitrović
1–1 Yuri
Williams
29′
32′
🟨 Enes Ünal
Half-time 1–1
59′
ℹ️ Mathias Olivera
VAR: Goal cancelled
Oihan Sancet ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
63′
65′
🟥 Jorge Cuenca
65′
ℹ️ Jorge Cuenca
VAR: Card upgrade
Nico Williams 🔁
↦ Unai Vencedor
72′
74′
🔁 Borja Mayoral
↦ Sandro Ramírez
Raúl García 🔁
↦ Oihan Sancet
78′
Asier Villalibre 🔁
↦ Williams
78′
78′
🔁 O. Yokuşlu
↦ Óscar Rodríguez
Mikel Vesga 🟨
79′
86′
🟨 Djené
87′
🔁 Juan Iglesias
↦ Carles Aleñá
87′
🔁 Mata
↦ E. Ünal
Óscar de Marcos 🟨
88′
Alex Petxarroman 🔁
↦ De Marcos
88′
Nico Serrano 🔁
↦ Muniain
89′
Álex Petxa 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 Jaime Mata
Yeray Álvarez 🟨
96′
97′
🟨 Damián Suárez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-4-2
1 Unai Simón G
18 De Marcos D
17 Yuri D
5 Yeray D
12 Dani Vivian D
6 Mikel Vesga M
8 Oihan Sancet F
16 Unai Vencedor M
10 Muniain M
9 Williams F
7 Álex Berenguer M
Bench (11)
30 Nico Williams
22 Raúl García
20 Asier Villalibre
2 Alex Petxarroman
33 Nico Serrano
21 Capa
24 Balenziaga
3 Unai Núñez
19 Oier Zarraga
13 Jokin Ezkieta
15 Lekue

Coach: Marcelino

Getafe

5-3-2
13 David Soria G
22 D. Suárez D
23 S. Mitrović D
2 D. Dakonam D
17 M. Olivera D
15 Jorge Cuenca D
11 Carles Aleñá M
24 Óscar Rodríguez M
6 Gonzalo Villar M
12 Sandro Ramírez F
10 E. Ünal F
Bench (11)
25 Borja Mayoral
19 O. Yokuşlu
21 Juan Iglesias
7 Mata
27 Diego Conde
5 Florentino Luís
8 Vitolo
16 J. Jankto
4 G. Álvarez
1 Rubén Yáñez
3 E. Cabaco

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,76
U ✓
3,28
B
6,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,75
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.