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Serie A

Referee: M Volpi

Sassuolo

U S S S U

4–1

Full-time

Spezia

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 31%

34%

28%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

79%

55%

Both score Ø 67%

79%

55%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

16 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 10. · Spezia 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	29	19	6	4	+26	63
2	Napoli	29	18	6	5	+30	60
3	Inter	28	17	8	3	+38	59
4	Juventus	29	16	8	5	+19	56
5	Lazio	29	14	7	8	+16	49
6	Atalanta	28	13	9	6	+19	48
7	Roma	29	14	6	9	+12	48
8	Fiorentina	28	14	4	10	+10	46
9	Verona	29	11	8	10	+8	41
10	Sassuolo	29	10	10	9	+3	40
11	Torino	28	9	8	11	+5	35
12	Bologna	28	9	6	13	-11	33
13	Empoli	29	8	8	13	-14	32
14	Udinese	27	6	12	9	-9	30
15	Spezia	29	8	5	16	-20	29
16	Sampdoria	29	7	5	17	-14	26
17	Cagliari	29	5	10	14	-25	25
18	Venezia	28	5	7	16	-27	22
19	Genoa	29	1	16	12	-25	19
20	Salernitana	27	3	7	17	-41	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	14	10	2	2	+23	32
2	Milan	15	9	3	3	+11	30
3	Fiorentina	14	9	2	3	+16	29
4	Lazio	14	8	4	2	+15	28
5	Roma	15	8	4	3	+6	28
6	Juventus	14	8	3	3	+9	27
7	Napoli	14	8	2	4	+13	26
8	Verona	15	8	2	5	+11	26
9	Torino	15	7	4	4	+11	25
10	Bologna	14	6	3	5	+1	21
11	Udinese	14	4	7	3	-2	19
12	Atalanta	14	4	6	4	+6	18
13	Sassuolo	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Spezia	14	4	3	7	-2	15
15	Sampdoria	15	4	3	8	-5	15
16	Cagliari	14	2	6	6	-9	12
17	Empoli	14	3	2	9	-15	11
18	Venezia	14	2	4	8	-13	10
19	Genoa	14	0	8	6	-10	8
20	Salernitana	14	1	5	8	-19	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	15	10	4	1	+17	34
2	Milan	14	10	3	1	+15	33
3	Atalanta	14	9	3	2	+13	30
4	Juventus	15	8	5	2	+10	29
5	Inter	14	7	6	1	+15	27
6	Sassuolo	15	6	5	4	+6	23
7	Lazio	15	6	3	6	+1	21
8	Empoli	15	5	6	4	+1	21
9	Roma	14	6	2	6	+6	20
10	Fiorentina	14	5	2	7	-6	17
11	Verona	14	3	6	5	-3	15
12	Spezia	15	4	2	9	-18	14
13	Cagliari	15	3	4	8	-16	13
14	Bologna	14	3	3	8	-12	12
15	Venezia	14	3	3	8	-14	12
16	Udinese	13	2	5	6	-7	11
17	Sampdoria	14	3	2	9	-9	11
18	Genoa	15	1	8	6	-15	11
19	Torino	13	2	4	7	-6	10
20	Salernitana	13	2	2	9	-22	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.