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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T T T U S

0–3

Full-time

Karlsruhe

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 24%

16%

31%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

56%

69%

Both score Ø 67%

56%

77%

Average goals

2,9

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

15 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 17. · Karlsruhe 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	26	14	6	6	+20	48
2	St Pauli	26	14	6	6	+15	48
3	Werder Bremen	26	14	6	6	+14	48
4	Nurnberg	26	13	6	7	+6	45
5	Schalke 04	26	13	5	8	+20	44
6	Heidenheim	26	12	6	8	+0	42
7	Hamburg	25	10	11	4	+19	41
8	Paderborn	26	9	10	7	+9	37
9	Karlsruhe	26	8	10	8	+3	34
10	Regensburg	26	9	6	11	+4	33
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	26	8	7	11	-1	31
12	Hansa Rostock	26	8	7	11	-9	31
13	Holstein Kiel	26	8	7	11	-10	31
14	Hannover	26	8	7	11	-14	31
15	Sandhausen	26	7	9	10	-13	30
16	Dresden	26	7	6	13	-10	27
17	Erzgebirge Aue	25	4	7	14	-24	19
18	Ingolstadt	26	3	6	17	-29	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	9	2	1	+18	29
2	Heidenheim	13	8	4	1	+9	28
3	Hamburg	13	6	6	1	+12	24
4	Darmstadt	13	7	3	3	+11	24
5	Schalke 04	13	7	2	4	+11	23
6	Nurnberg	13	7	2	4	+4	23
7	Werder Bremen	12	6	4	2	+10	22
8	Karlsruhe	14	5	6	3	+6	21
9	Regensburg	13	5	3	5	+5	18
10	Dresden	13	5	3	5	+2	18
11	Holstein Kiel	13	5	2	6	-5	17
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	4	5	+3	16
13	Hannover	13	4	4	5	-6	16
14	Paderborn	14	2	6	6	-3	12
15	Hansa Rostock	13	3	3	7	-8	12
16	Erzgebirge Aue	13	3	2	8	-12	11
17	Sandhausen	12	2	4	6	-11	10
18	Ingolstadt	13	1	4	8	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Werder Bremen	14	8	2	4	+4	26
2	Paderborn	12	7	4	1	+12	25
3	Darmstadt	13	7	3	3	+9	24
4	Nurnberg	13	6	4	3	+2	22
5	Schalke 04	13	6	3	4	+9	21
6	Sandhausen	14	5	5	4	-2	20
7	Hansa Rostock	13	5	4	4	-1	19
8	St Pauli	14	5	4	5	-3	19
9	Hamburg	12	4	5	3	+7	17
10	Regensburg	13	4	3	6	-1	15
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	3	6	-4	15
12	Hannover	13	4	3	6	-8	15
13	Holstein Kiel	13	3	5	5	-5	14
14	Heidenheim	13	4	2	7	-9	14
15	Karlsruhe	12	3	4	5	-3	13
16	Dresden	13	2	3	8	-12	9
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	5	6	-12	8
18	Ingolstadt	13	2	2	9	-16	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.