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Serie A

Referee: M Mariani

Genoa

U U U U U

1–0

Full-time

Torino

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Torino

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

0,7

2,0

Scored

0,3

0,7

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 29/28 matches

Win Ø 18%

32%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

45%

43%

Both score Ø 51%

48%

54%

Average goals

2,4

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

25% Possession 75%

7 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 19. · Torino 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	29	19	6	4	+26	63
2	Napoli	29	18	6	5	+30	60
3	Inter	28	17	8	3	+38	59
4	Juventus	29	16	8	5	+19	56
5	Lazio	29	14	7	8	+16	49
6	Atalanta	28	13	9	6	+19	48
7	Roma	29	14	6	9	+12	48
8	Fiorentina	28	14	4	10	+10	46
9	Sassuolo	30	11	10	9	+6	43
10	Verona	29	11	8	10	+8	41
11	Torino	28	9	8	11	+5	35
12	Bologna	28	9	6	13	-11	33
13	Empoli	29	8	8	13	-14	32
14	Udinese	27	6	12	9	-9	30
15	Spezia	30	8	5	17	-23	29
16	Sampdoria	29	7	5	17	-14	26
17	Cagliari	29	5	10	14	-25	25
18	Venezia	28	5	7	16	-27	22
19	Genoa	29	1	16	12	-25	19
20	Salernitana	27	3	7	17	-41	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	14	10	2	2	+23	32
2	Milan	15	9	3	3	+11	30
3	Fiorentina	14	9	2	3	+16	29
4	Lazio	14	8	4	2	+15	28
5	Roma	15	8	4	3	+6	28
6	Juventus	14	8	3	3	+9	27
7	Napoli	14	8	2	4	+13	26
8	Verona	15	8	2	5	+11	26
9	Torino	15	7	4	4	+11	25
10	Bologna	14	6	3	5	+1	21
11	Sassuolo	15	5	5	5	+0	20
12	Udinese	14	4	7	3	-2	19
13	Atalanta	14	4	6	4	+6	18
14	Spezia	14	4	3	7	-2	15
15	Sampdoria	15	4	3	8	-5	15
16	Cagliari	14	2	6	6	-9	12
17	Empoli	14	3	2	9	-15	11
18	Venezia	14	2	4	8	-13	10
19	Genoa	14	0	8	6	-10	8
20	Salernitana	14	1	5	8	-19	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	15	10	4	1	+17	34
2	Milan	14	10	3	1	+15	33
3	Atalanta	14	9	3	2	+13	30
4	Juventus	15	8	5	2	+10	29
5	Inter	14	7	6	1	+15	27
6	Sassuolo	15	6	5	4	+6	23
7	Lazio	15	6	3	6	+1	21
8	Empoli	15	5	6	4	+1	21
9	Roma	14	6	2	6	+6	20
10	Fiorentina	14	5	2	7	-6	17
11	Verona	14	3	6	5	-3	15
12	Spezia	16	4	2	10	-21	14
13	Cagliari	15	3	4	8	-16	13
14	Bologna	14	3	3	8	-12	12
15	Venezia	14	3	3	8	-14	12
16	Udinese	13	2	5	6	-7	11
17	Sampdoria	14	3	2	9	-9	11
18	Genoa	15	1	8	6	-15	11
19	Torino	13	2	4	7	-6	10
20	Salernitana	13	2	2	9	-22	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.