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Ekstraklasa

Referee: B Frankowski

Jagiellonia

U S U S U

4–1

Full-time

Korona Kielce

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Korona Kielce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

30%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

20 Shots 19

9 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 9

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 10

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 11. · Korona Kielce 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	11	6	3	2	+6	21
2	Legia	11	6	3	2	+1	21
3	Wisla Plock	11	6	2	3	+10	20
4	Rakow	9	6	1	2	+9	19
5	Cracovia	11	5	2	4	+5	17
6	Widzew Lodz	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Zaglebie	11	4	4	3	-2	16
8	Stal Mielec	11	5	1	5	-3	16
9	Lech Poznan	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-4	14
11	Jagiellonia	10	3	4	3	+3	13
12	Gornik Zabrze	10	3	4	3	+0	13
13	Slask Wroclaw	10	3	4	3	-4	13
14	Korona Kielce	10	3	2	5	-1	11
15	Piast Gliwice	10	3	2	5	-1	11
16	Warta Poznan	10	3	2	5	-4	11
17	Legnica	10	1	2	7	-9	5
18	Lechia Gdansk	10	1	2	7	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Pogon Szczecin	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Wisla Plock	5	4	1	0	+8	13
4	Legia	5	4	1	0	+6	13
5	Cracovia	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Jagiellonia	5	3	0	2	+4	9
7	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	2	1	-1	8
8	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+4	7
9	Stal Mielec	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Radomiak Radom	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Lech Poznan	6	2	1	3	-2	7
12	Widzew Lodz	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Zaglebie	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Korona Kielce	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Legnica	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Lechia Gdansk	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Warta Poznan	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	6	3	1	2	+3	10
2	Warta Poznan	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Zaglebie	6	3	1	2	-2	10
4	Stal Mielec	6	3	0	3	-3	9
5	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Lech Poznan	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Legia	6	2	2	2	-5	8
8	Wisla Plock	6	2	1	3	+2	7
9	Korona Kielce	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Cracovia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Jagiellonia	5	0	4	1	-1	4
15	Piast Gliwice	6	1	1	4	-5	4
16	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	6	1	0	5	-8	3
18	Legnica	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.