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Ekstraklasa
Referee: B Frankowski
Stal Mielec
T S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Wisla Plock
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Wisla Plock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 54%
54%
54%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
46%
69%
Both score Ø 50%
31%
69%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
11 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stal Mielec 6. · Wisla Plock 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 13 9 2 2 +14 29
2 Widzew Lodz 14 8 2 4 +9 26
3 Wisla Plock 13 7 3 3 +11 24
4 Legia 13 7 3 3 +1 24
5 Pogon Szczecin 13 6 4 3 +4 22
6 Stal Mielec 13 7 1 5 +1 22
7 Lech Poznan 12 6 3 3 +4 21
8 Cracovia 13 5 3 5 +4 18
9 Jagiellonia 13 4 5 4 +4 17
10 Warta Poznan 13 5 2 6 -1 17
11 Radomiak Radom 13 5 2 6 -3 17
12 Zaglebie 13 4 5 4 -5 17
13 Slask Wroclaw 13 4 4 5 -5 16
14 Gornik Zabrze 12 3 4 5 -4 13
15 Piast Gliwice 13 3 3 7 -3 12
16 Korona Kielce 13 3 3 7 -6 12
17 Lechia Gdansk 12 2 2 8 -14 8
18 Legnica 13 1 3 9 -11 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stal Mielec Wisla Plock
13′
🟨 Anton Krivotsyuk
Marcin Flis ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
18′
1–0 P. Wlazło
19′
33′
🟨 Mateusz Szwoch
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 K. Vallo
↦ I. Drapiński
54′
🔁 Davo
↦ M. Gono
54′
🔁 Ł. Sekulski
↦ M. Lewandowski
F. Gerbowski 🔁
↦ M. Domański
70′
73′
🔁 P. Tomasik
↦ A. Krivotsyuk
73′
🔁 D. Warchoł
↦ M. Szwoch
Bartosz Mrozek 🟨
74′
M. Lebedyński 🔁
↦ A. Ratajczyk
77′
79′
🟨 Adam Chrzanowski
Krystian Getinger 🟨
81′
Leândro 🔁
↦ S. Hamulic
85′
91′
D. Warchoł 1–1
Ł. Sekulski
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stal Mielec

3-4-2-1
41 B. Mrozek G
74 K. Kruk D
18 P. Wlazło D
4 M. Flis D
17 F. Hiszpański M
24 M. Wolski M
16 P. Żyra M
23 K. Getinger M
77 A. Ratajczyk F
7 M. Domański F
99 S. Hamulic F
Bench (7)
32 F. Gerbowski
11 M. Lebedyński
6 Leândro
15 D. Poręba
1 M. Kochalski
92 B. Ciepiela
39 M. Wyparło

Coach: A. Majewski

Wisla Plock

4-1-4-1
1 K. Kamiński G
5 A. Krivotsyuk D
4 A. Chrzanowski D
3 S. Kapuadi D
21 I. Drapiński D
8 D. Furman M
89 A. Pawlak M
14 M. Szwoch M
22 M. Gono M
10 R. Wolski M
17 M. Lewandowski F
Bench (9)
15 K. Vallo
11 Davo
20 Ł. Sekulski
77 P. Tomasik
95 D. Warchoł
69 B. Gradecki
25 J. Rzeźniczak
23 F. Lesniak
27 M. Kvocera

Coach: P. Staňo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Frankowski · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.