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Ekstraklasa
Referee: J Przybył
Zaglebie
T T T T S
1–2
Full-time
Legia
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
28%
56%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
39%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 15. · Legia 2. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 19 14 3 2 +24 45
2 Legia 18 10 5 3 +6 35
3 Widzew Lodz 19 9 4 6 +5 31
4 Lech Poznan 18 8 6 4 +5 30
5 Pogon Szczecin 18 8 6 4 +4 30
6 Cracovia 18 8 4 6 +8 28
7 Wisla Plock 18 8 4 6 +4 28
8 Stal Mielec 18 8 4 6 +3 28
9 Warta Poznan 18 7 5 6 +2 26
10 Radomiak Radom 18 7 3 8 -2 24
11 Gornik Zabrze 19 5 6 8 -4 21
12 Slask Wroclaw 18 5 6 7 -8 21
13 Lechia Gdansk 19 6 3 10 -11 21
14 Jagiellonia 19 4 8 7 -1 20
15 Zaglebie 18 5 5 8 -11 20
16 Piast Gliwice 19 4 5 10 -5 17
17 Legnica 18 3 5 10 -9 14
18 Korona Kielce 18 3 4 11 -10 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Legia
37′
⚽ P. Wszołek 0–1
Josué
Half-time 0–1
S. Živec 🔁
↦ D. Bohar
46′
Bartosz Kopacz 🟨
53′
Filip Starzyński 🟨
57′
59′
⚽ E. Muçi 0–2
Josué
1–2 Ł. Łakomy ⚽
S. Živec
65′
69′
🔁 R. Augustyniak
↦ I. Strzałek
D. Kurminowski 🔁
↦ R. Adamski
72′
T. Pieńko 🔁
↦ F. Starzyński
76′
M. Grzybek 🔁
↦ A. Woźniak
76′
78′
🔁 M. Baku
↦ F. Mladenović
78′
🔁 T. Pekhart
↦ E. Muçi
89′
🔁 R. Pich
↦ Josué
T. Gaprindashvili 🔁
↦ K. Chodyna
91′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zaglebie

4-2-3-1
1 J. Burić G
27 B. Kłudka D
2 B. Kopacz D
5 A. Ławniczak D
11 A. Woźniak D
6 T. Makowski M
99 Ł. Łakomy M
26 K. Chodyna M
18 F. Starzyński M
39 D. Bohar M
19 R. Adamski F
Bench (9)
7 S. Živec
90 D. Kurminowski
21 T. Pieńko
13 M. Grzybek
9 T. Gaprindashvili
20 M. Poletanović
14 J. Żubrowski
4 J. Jach
89 K. Bieszczad

Coach: W. Fornalik

Legia

5-3-2
1 K. Tobiasz G
13 P. Wszołek D
17 M. Nawrocki D
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
25 F. Mladenović D
99 B. Slisz M
27 Josué M
86 I. Strzałek M
39 M. Rosołek F
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (9)
8 R. Augustyniak
28 M. Baku
7 T. Pekhart
11 R. Pich
14 I. Kharatin
16 J. Çelhaka
6 M. Johansson
30 D. Hładun
18 P. Sokołowski

Coach: K. Runjaić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U
–
B ✓
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

J Przybył · 69 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.