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Ekstraklasa

Referee: D Sylwestrzak

Jagiellonia

S U T T U

2–5

Full-time

Legia

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Legia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 40%

29%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

43%

Both score Ø 54%

64%

43%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 24

5 Shots on target 11

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

6 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 9

7 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 10. · Legia 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	14	10	2	2	+15	32
2	Pogon Szczecin	15	7	5	3	+6	26
3	Widzew Lodz	15	8	2	5	+6	26
4	Wisla Plock	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Legia	14	7	4	3	+1	25
6	Stal Mielec	14	7	2	5	+1	23
7	Lech Poznan	13	6	4	3	+4	22
8	Radomiak Radom	14	6	2	6	-2	20
9	Cracovia	14	5	4	5	+4	19
10	Jagiellonia	14	4	6	4	+4	18
11	Warta Poznan	14	5	3	6	-1	18
12	Gornik Zabrze	14	4	5	5	-1	17
13	Slask Wroclaw	14	4	5	5	-5	17
14	Zaglebie	14	4	5	5	-8	17
15	Piast Gliwice	15	3	4	8	-4	13
16	Korona Kielce	15	3	4	8	-7	13
17	Lechia Gdansk	13	3	2	8	-11	11
18	Legnica	14	1	3	10	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Legia	7	5	2	0	+7	17
3	Wisla Plock	6	5	1	0	+9	16
4	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Jagiellonia	7	4	1	2	+7	13
6	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+5	13
7	Slask Wroclaw	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Cracovia	8	3	2	3	+4	11
9	Stal Mielec	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Lech Poznan	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Gornik Zabrze	8	2	2	4	-2	8
13	Piast Gliwice	7	2	1	4	+1	7
14	Zaglebie	7	1	4	2	-3	7
15	Korona Kielce	7	1	2	4	-3	5
16	Legnica	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Warta Poznan	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Lechia Gdansk	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	7	4	1	2	+4	13
2	Widzew Lodz	8	4	1	3	+1	13
3	Lech Poznan	6	3	3	0	+5	12
4	Stal Mielec	7	4	0	3	-1	12
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	3	2	3	+0	11
6	Rakow	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	-2	10
8	Zaglebie	7	3	1	3	-5	10
9	Wisla Plock	8	2	3	3	+2	9
10	Gornik Zabrze	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Lechia Gdansk	8	3	0	5	-4	9
12	Cracovia	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Korona Kielce	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Legia	7	2	2	3	-6	8
15	Piast Gliwice	8	1	3	4	-5	6
16	Jagiellonia	7	0	5	2	-3	5
17	Slask Wroclaw	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Legnica	7	0	1	6	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.