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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myć
Lechia Gdansk
S S U U T
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lechia Gdansk Radomiak Radom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
0,7
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
29%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
62%
38%
Both score Ø 43%
48%
38%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lechia Gdansk 16. · Radomiak Radom 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 22 16 4 2 +27 52
2 Legia 22 12 7 3 +8 43
3 Widzew Lodz 22 10 6 6 +6 36
4 Lech Poznan 21 10 6 5 +6 36
5 Pogon Szczecin 21 9 6 6 +2 33
6 Cracovia 22 9 5 8 +7 32
7 Warta Poznan 21 8 6 7 +4 30
8 Stal Mielec 21 8 5 8 +1 29
9 Radomiak Radom 21 8 5 8 -1 29
10 Wisla Plock 20 8 4 8 +2 28
11 Slask Wroclaw 21 6 7 8 -7 25
12 Jagiellonia 22 5 9 8 +0 24
13 Piast Gliwice 22 6 5 11 -3 23
14 Zaglebie 21 6 5 10 -13 23
15 Gornik Zabrze 21 5 7 9 -6 22
16 Lechia Gdansk 21 6 4 11 -12 22
17 Korona Kielce 22 5 5 12 -12 20
18 Legnica 21 4 6 11 -9 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lechia Gdansk Radomiak Radom
21′
Leonardo Rocha 0–1
Lisandro Semedo
41′
D. Abramowicz 0–2
M. Cestor
Half-time 0–2
M. Terrazzino 🔁
↦ K. Tobers
46′
D. Piła 🔁
↦ K. Sezonienko
46′
J. Kałuziński 🔁
↦ İ. Durmuş
46′
47′
🟨 Jakub Nowakowski
48′
ℹ️ Dawid Abramowicz
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Kevin Friesenbichler 🟨
50′
52′
Leonardo Rocha 0–3
B. Diabaté 🔁
↦ K. Friesenbichler
59′
62′
🔁 J. Sarmiento
↦ Leonardo Rocha
Michał Nalepa 🟨
71′
73′
🔁 F. Castañeda
↦ Luís Machado
80′
🟨 Frank Castañeda
1–3 L. Zwoliński
82′
Flávio Paixão 🔁
↦ M. Gajos
84′
90′
🔁 T. Cele
↦ C. Donis
90′
🔁 D. Pik
↦ Lisandro Semedo
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Lechia Gdansk

4-1-4-1
12 D. Kuciak G
5 J. Bartkowski D
25 M. Nalepa D
23 M. Maloča D
2 R. Pietrzak D
4 K. Tobers M
79 K. Sezonienko M
7 M. Gajos M
30 K. Friesenbichler M
99 İ. Durmuş M
9 L. Zwoliński F
Bench (9)
33 M. Terrazzino
11 D. Piła
88 J. Kałuziński
10 B. Diabaté
28 Flávio Paixão
72 F. Koperski
26 B. Brzęk
1 M. Buchalik
97 J. Abu Hanna

Coach: M. Kaczmarek

Radomiak Radom

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobylak G
14 D. Jakubik D
29 Raphael Rossi D
92 M. Cestor D
33 D. Abramowicz D
90 J. Nowakowski M
77 C. Donis M
7 Lisandro Semedo M
80 Berto Cayarga M
20 Luís Machado M
17 Leonardo Rocha F
Bench (9)
19 J. Sarmiento
70 F. Castañeda
2 T. Cele
11 D. Pik
16 M. Cichocki
26 M. Żurawski
12 A. Posiadała
3 Pedro Justiniano
18 K. Okoniewski

Coach: M. Lewandowski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Myć · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.