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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Lasyk
Legia
U S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Rakow
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,3
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 68%
60%
76%
Points per game
2,1
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
48%
52%
Both score Ø 44%
48%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%
14 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Legia 2. · Rakow 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 25 19 4 2 +35 61
2 Legia 25 15 7 3 +13 52
3 Lech Poznan 25 12 7 6 +11 43
4 Pogon Szczecin 25 11 7 7 +2 40
5 Warta Poznan 26 10 8 8 +7 38
6 Widzew Lodz 25 10 7 8 +3 37
7 Cracovia 25 9 7 9 +4 34
8 Piast Gliwice 26 9 6 11 +1 33
9 Wisla Plock 25 9 5 11 +0 32
10 Radomiak Radom 25 9 5 11 -3 32
11 Zaglebie 26 8 7 11 -12 31
12 Stal Mielec 25 8 6 11 -4 30
13 Korona Kielce 26 8 6 12 -9 30
14 Slask Wroclaw 25 7 9 9 -9 30
15 Jagiellonia 25 6 11 8 +1 29
16 Gornik Zabrze 26 7 7 12 -7 28
17 Lechia Gdansk 25 7 4 14 -17 25
18 Legnica 26 4 7 15 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Legia Rakow
2′
🟨 Giannis Papanikolaou
Bartosz Kapustka 🟨
12′
1–0 T. Pekhart
E. Muçi
15′
2–0 R. Augustyniak
B. Kapustka
30′
32′
B. Nowak 2–1
Ivi López
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 V. Gutkovskis
↦ S. Musiolik
3–1 P. Wszołek
F. Mladenović
63′
Paweł Wszołek 🟨
64′
67′
🔁 B. Lederman
↦ V. Kochergin
67′
🔁 Jean Carlos
↦ P. Kun
72′
🔁 M. Cebula
↦ G. Papanikolaou
M. Rosołek 🔁
↦ T. Pekhart
76′
79′
🔁 M. Wdowiak
↦ M. Rundić
Carlitos 🔁
↦ E. Muçi
83′
J. Çelhaka 🔁
↦ B. Kapustka
84′
Carlitos 🟨
92′
I. Strzałek 🔁
↦ Josué
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Legia

3-5-2
30 D. Hładun G
55 A. Jędrzejczyk D
8 R. Augustyniak D
5 Yuri Ribeiro D
13 P. Wszołek M
99 B. Slisz M
27 Josué M
67 B. Kapustka M
25 F. Mladenović M
7 T. Pekhart F
20 E. Muçi F
Bench (9)
39 M. Rosołek
19 Carlitos
16 J. Çelhaka
86 I. Strzałek
29 L. Rose
31 C. Miszta
17 M. Nawrocki
18 P. Sokołowski
28 M. Baku

Coach: K. Runjaić

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
4 S. Svarnas D
24 Z. Arsenić D
3 M. Rundić D
7 F. Tudor M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
30 V. Kochergin M
23 P. Kun M
11 Ivi López F
9 S. Musiolik F
27 B. Nowak F
Bench (9)
21 V. Gutkovskis
8 B. Lederman
20 Jean Carlos
77 M. Cebula
17 M. Wdowiak
12 K. Trelowski
25 B. Racovițan
2 T. Petrášek
5 G. Berggren

Coach: M. Papszun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Lasyk · 90 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.