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Ekstraklasa

Referee: P Lasyk

Legia

S S S S U

2–2

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 54%

59%

48%

Points per game

2,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

52%

48%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Legia 2. · Lech Poznan 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	28	20	5	3	+35	65
2	Legia	27	16	8	3	+15	56
3	Lech Poznan	27	13	8	6	+13	47
4	Pogon Szczecin	28	13	8	7	+4	47
5	Warta Poznan	28	11	8	9	+7	41
6	Piast Gliwice	28	11	6	11	+3	39
7	Cracovia	28	10	8	10	+6	38
8	Widzew Lodz	28	10	8	10	-1	38
9	Wisla Plock	28	10	6	12	+1	36
10	Stal Mielec	27	9	7	11	-2	34
11	Radomiak Radom	28	9	7	12	-6	34
12	Korona Kielce	28	9	7	12	-8	34
13	Jagiellonia	28	7	12	9	+1	33
14	Gornik Zabrze	28	8	8	12	-5	32
15	Slask Wroclaw	28	7	10	11	-12	31
16	Zaglebie	28	8	7	13	-16	31
17	Lechia Gdansk	28	7	5	16	-19	26
18	Legnica	27	4	8	15	-16	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	14	13	1	0	+29	40
2	Legia	13	9	4	0	+13	31
3	Wisla Plock	14	8	3	3	+10	27
4	Cracovia	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Jagiellonia	14	7	2	5	+6	23
6	Lech Poznan	14	7	2	5	+6	23
7	Korona Kielce	14	7	2	5	+2	23
8	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	4	3	+2	22
9	Warta Poznan	14	4	6	4	+3	18
10	Piast Gliwice	14	5	3	6	+1	18
11	Widzew Lodz	14	5	3	6	-1	18
12	Slask Wroclaw	14	4	6	4	-3	18
13	Stal Mielec	13	4	5	4	+2	17
14	Lechia Gdansk	14	4	4	6	-5	16
15	Legnica	14	3	6	5	-4	15
16	Radomiak Radom	14	4	3	7	-4	15
17	Gornik Zabrze	14	3	5	6	-5	14
18	Zaglebie	15	2	5	8	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	14	7	4	3	+6	25
2	Pogon Szczecin	15	7	4	4	+2	25
3	Legia	14	7	4	3	+2	25
4	Lech Poznan	13	6	6	1	+7	24
5	Warta Poznan	14	7	2	5	+4	23
6	Piast Gliwice	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Widzew Lodz	14	5	5	4	+0	20
8	Zaglebie	13	6	2	5	-5	20
9	Radomiak Radom	14	5	4	5	-2	19
10	Gornik Zabrze	14	5	3	6	+0	18
11	Stal Mielec	14	5	2	7	-4	17
12	Cracovia	14	3	4	7	-5	13
13	Slask Wroclaw	14	3	4	7	-9	13
14	Korona Kielce	14	2	5	7	-10	11
15	Jagiellonia	14	0	10	4	-5	10
16	Lechia Gdansk	14	3	1	10	-14	10
17	Wisla Plock	14	2	3	9	-9	9
18	Legnica	13	1	2	10	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.