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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Arys
Jagiellonia
T S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Cracovia
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
34%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
34%
Both score Ø 57%
72%
41%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Jagiellonia 12. · Cracovia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 32 22 5 5 +38 71
2 Legia 32 18 9 5 +19 63
3 Lech Poznan 33 16 10 7 +20 58
4 Pogon Szczecin 32 16 9 7 +8 57
5 Piast Gliwice 32 14 7 11 +6 49
6 Warta Poznan 32 12 8 12 +3 44
7 Gornik Zabrze 32 12 8 12 +1 44
8 Zaglebie 33 12 8 13 -9 44
9 Cracovia 32 11 9 12 +3 42
10 Widzew Lodz 32 11 8 13 -4 41
11 Radomiak Radom 32 11 8 13 -5 41
12 Jagiellonia 32 9 13 10 +1 40
13 Stal Mielec 33 10 10 13 -5 40
14 Korona Kielce 33 10 8 15 -12 38
15 Wisla Plock 32 10 7 15 -5 37
16 Slask Wroclaw 32 8 11 13 -13 35
17 Lechia Gdansk 32 7 6 19 -26 27
18 Legnica 32 4 10 18 -20 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jagiellonia Cracovia
1–0 Jesús Imaz
Israel Puerto
14′
M. Skrzypczak 🔁
↦ M. Matysik
40′
Half-time 1–0
S. Abramowicz 🔁
↦ Z. Alomerović
46′
B. Wdowik 🔁
↦ B. Nastić
55′
58′
T. Romanczuk 2–0
own goal
Michał Pazdan 🟨
65′
D. Stojinović 🔁
↦ M. Pazdan
75′
T. Kupisz 🔁
↦ A. Nguiamba
75′
79′
🔁 J. Atanasov
↦ T. Oshima
82′
🟨 Arttu Hoskonen
85′
🔁 Y. Konoplyanka
↦ M. Rakoczy
85′
🔁 K. Jodłowski
↦ K. Knap
88′
🔁 J. Myszor
↦ B. Källman
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

3-4-1-2
1 Z. Alomerović G
32 M. Matysik D
4 Israel Puerto D
2 M. Pazdan D
14 T. Přikryl M
16 M. Sáček M
6 T. Romanczuk M
5 B. Nastić M
39 A. Nguiamba F
28 Marc Gual F
11 Jesús Imaz F
Bench (9)
72 M. Skrzypczak
50 S. Abramowicz
27 B. Wdowik
3 D. Stojinović
18 T. Kupisz
19 P. Olszewski
36 J. Lewicki
34 M. Bortniczuk
10 C. Mena

Coach: A. Siemieniec

Cracovia

3-4-2-1
31 L. Hroššo G
22 A. Hoskonen D
24 J. Jugas D
5 V. Ghiță D
2 C. Râpă M
18 T. Oshima M
20 K. Knap M
17 M. Bochnak M
9 B. Källman F
11 M. Rakoczy F
71 P. Makuch F
Bench (8)
6 J. Atanasov
10 Y. Konoplyanka
36 K. Jodłowski
38 J. Myszor
77 S. Strózik
55 M. Stachera
13 S. Madejski
73 P. Zaucha

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Arys · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.