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Ekstraklasa
Referee: W Myć
Jagiellonia
U S T S S
6–0
Full-time
LKS Lodz
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia LKS Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
56%
16%
Points per game
1,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
80%
48%
Both score Ø 60%
72%
48%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,86 xG 0,95
64% Possession 36%
28 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Jagiellonia 1. · LKS Lodz 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 25 14 6 5 +22 +10.5 48
2 Slask Wroclaw 25 13 7 5 +13 +4.8 46
3 Rakow 26 12 9 5 +20 +19.0 45
4 Lech Poznan 25 12 8 5 +8 -2.8 44
5 Pogon Szczecin 25 12 5 8 +16 +12.1 41
6 Legia 25 11 8 6 +8 +7.8 41
7 Gornik Zabrze 25 11 6 8 +5 -4.6 39
8 Stal Mielec 25 10 6 9 +0 -9.9 36
9 Zaglebie 25 9 7 9 -8 +2.8 34
10 Widzew Lodz 25 9 5 11 -3 -3.9 32
11 Radomiak Radom 25 8 7 10 -9 +0.7 31
12 Cracovia 25 5 13 7 -1 -0.3 28
13 Piast Gliwice 25 5 13 7 -5 +10.4 28
14 Warta Poznan 25 6 9 10 -7 -7.2 27
15 Korona Kielce 25 4 12 9 -6 -1.9 24
16 Puszcza 25 5 9 11 -13 -17.3 24
17 Ruch Chorzow 26 2 13 11 -13 -5.2 19
18 LKS Lodz 25 4 5 16 -27 -14.8 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Jagiellonia LKS Lodz
1–0 Nené
B. Wdowik
12′
33′
🟥 Adrien Louveau
33′
ℹ️ Adrien Louveau
VAR: Card upgrade
2–0 D. Marczuk
T. Romanczuk
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 K. Tejan
↦ P. Janczukowicz
46′
🔁 A. Młynarczyk
↦ B. Szeliga
46′
🔁 J. Letniowski
↦ E. Hoti
Afimico Pululu 🔁
↦ K. Çalışkaner
61′
63′
🟨 Piotr Głowacki
3–0 Jesús Imaz
T. Romanczuk
64′
4–0 Afimico Pululu
70′
José Naranjo 🔁
↦ T. Romanczuk
71′
J. Kubicki 🔁
↦ D. Marczuk
71′
71′
🔁 J. Zając
↦ H. Balić
5–0 J. Kubicki
77′
J. Lewicki 🔁
↦ B. Wdowik
79′
T. Kupisz 🔁
↦ K. Hansen
80′
83′
🔁 J. Łabędzki
↦ Dani Ramírez
6–0 Nené
T. Kupisz
83′
Jarosław Kubicki 🟨
90′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Alomerović G
16 M. Sáček D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
17 Adrián Diéguez D
27 B. Wdowik D
6 T. Romanczuk M
8 Nené M
7 D. Marczuk M
11 Jesús Imaz M
99 K. Hansen M
9 K. Çalışkaner F
Bench (9)
10 Afimico Pululu
28 José Naranjo
14 J. Kubicki
36 J. Lewicki
18 T. Kupisz
4 J. Haliti
77 W. Łaski
50 S. Abramowicz
39 A. Nguiamba

Coach: A. Siemieniec

LKS Lodz

4-1-4-1
1 A. Bobek G
8 K. Dankowski D
2 L. Gülen D
4 R. Məmmədov D
37 P. Głowacki D
24 A. Louveau M
70 H. Balić M
16 Dani Ramírez M
11 E. Hoti M
26 B. Szeliga M
20 P. Janczukowicz F
Bench (9)
9 K. Tejan
15 A. Młynarczyk
27 J. Letniowski
19 J. Zając
22 J. Łabędzki
14 M. Mokrzycki
21 S. Jurić
99 D. Arndt
30 O. Koprowski

Coach: M. Matysiak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Myć · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.