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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Raczkowski
Cracovia
S U U T U
2–2
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 30%
21%
38%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
29%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,64 xG 1,54
47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 4
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 13. · Widzew Lodz 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 24 13 6 5 +20 +11.0 45
2 Slask Wroclaw 24 13 6 5 +13 +2.8 45
3 Lech Poznan 25 12 8 5 +8 -2.8 44
4 Rakow 24 12 7 5 +20 +15.6 43
5 Pogon Szczecin 24 12 4 8 +16 +12.2 40
6 Legia 24 10 8 6 +6 +9.8 38
7 Gornik Zabrze 24 10 6 8 +4 -3.3 36
8 Stal Mielec 25 10 6 9 +0 -9.9 36
9 Zaglebie 25 9 7 9 -8 +2.8 34
10 Widzew Lodz 24 9 4 11 -3 -3.8 31
11 Radomiak Radom 24 8 7 9 -7 +0.2 31
12 Piast Gliwice 24 5 13 6 -3 +8.4 28
13 Cracovia 24 5 12 7 -1 -0.4 27
14 Warta Poznan 25 6 9 10 -7 -7.2 27
15 Korona Kielce 24 4 11 9 -6 -2.0 23
16 Puszcza 24 5 8 11 -13 -15.2 23
17 Ruch Chorzow 24 2 12 10 -12 -6.1 18
18 LKS Lodz 24 4 4 16 -27 -11.9 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia Widzew Lodz
1–0 E. Bitri
D. Ólafsson
10′
21′
M. Żyro 1–1
Fábio Nunes
Andreas Skovgaard 🟨
29′
Half-time 1–1
T. Oshima 🔁
↦ P. Sokołowski
60′
M. Rakoczy 🔁
↦ M. Maigaard
61′
P. Jaroszyński 🔁
↦ D. Ólafsson
71′
71′
🔁 D. Tkacz
↦ A. Klimek
F. Rózga 🔁
↦ B. Källman
72′
K. Knap 🔁
↦ J. Atanasov
77′
80′
🔁 S. Kerk
↦ I. Rondić
80′
🔁 M. Miloš
↦ Fábio Nunes
85′
B. Pawłowski 1–2
90′
🔁 D. Kun
↦ Fran Álvarez
90′
🔁 Luís Silva
↦ A. Cigaņiks
2–2 M. Rakoczy
A. Skovgaard
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-3
13 S. Madejski G
5 V. Ghiță D
33 E. Bitri D
3 A. Skovgaard D
25 O. Kakabadze M
6 J. Atanasov M
88 P. Sokołowski M
19 D. Ólafsson M
7 P. Makuch F
9 B. Källman F
11 M. Maigaard F
Bench (9)
18 T. Oshima
10 M. Rakoczy
4 P. Jaroszyński
63 F. Rózga
20 K. Knap
22 A. Hoskonen
17 M. Bochnak
2 C. Râpă
31 L. Hroššo

Coach: J. Zieliński

Widzew Lodz

4-4-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
23 P. Zieliński D
4 M. Żyro D
5 S. Szota D
14 A. Cigaņiks D
92 Fábio Nunes M
10 Fran Álvarez M
25 M. Hanousek M
47 A. Klimek M
99 I. Rondić F
19 B. Pawłowski F
Bench (9)
8 D. Tkacz
37 S. Kerk
7 M. Miloš
22 D. Kun
2 Luís Silva
44 N. Diliberto
78 K. Cybulski
35 I. Krajčírik
21 P. Kwiatkowski

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Raczkowski · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.