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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Kwiatkowski
Widzew Lodz
T S U T T
2–0
Full-time
Cracovia
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Cracovia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
57%
33%
Both score Ø 61%
71%
50%
Average goals
2,9
1,7
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,46 xG 0,73
44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Widzew Lodz 14. · Cracovia 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Slask Wroclaw 8 5 1 2 +6 -0.8 16
2 Jagiellonia 7 5 0 2 +5 +3.8 15
3 Legia 6 4 2 0 +9 -0.2 14
4 Rakow 6 4 1 1 +7 +4.4 13
5 Zaglebie 7 4 1 2 +1 +0.8 13
6 Cracovia 6 2 4 0 +2 -0.5 10
7 Radomiak Radom 8 3 1 4 -1 -1.6 10
8 Warta Poznan 7 2 3 2 +2 +1.6 9
9 Stal Mielec 7 2 3 2 +1 -2.6 9
10 Piast Gliwice 8 1 6 1 +0 +9.7 9
11 Pogon Szczecin 7 3 0 4 -2 +4.8 9
12 Gornik Zabrze 8 2 3 3 -5 -6.4 9
13 Lech Poznan 5 2 2 1 +1 -2.1 8
14 Widzew Lodz 7 2 1 4 -4 -1.4 7
15 Puszcza 8 2 1 5 -7 -5.4 7
16 Ruch Chorzow 8 1 3 4 -4 -1.7 6
17 LKS Lodz 8 2 0 6 -8 6
18 Korona Kielce 7 1 2 4 -3 -2.4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Widzew Lodz Cracovia
1–0 B. Pawłowski
Fábio Nunes
36′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🟨 Cornel Râpă
D. Tkacz 🔁
↦ A. Klimek
65′
S. Kerk 🔁
↦ J. Shehu
65′
66′
🔁 M. Bochnak
↦ K. Knap
66′
🔁 J. Atanasov
↦ C. Râpă
1–1 J. Jugas
own goal
71′
72′
🔁 J. Myszor
↦ B. Källman
A. Cigaņiks 🔁
↦ B. Pawłowski
82′
I. Rondić 🔁
↦ Jordi Sánchez
82′
86′
🔁 K. Ogorzały
↦ M. Rakoczy
86′
🔁 A. Skovgaard
↦ A. Hoskonen
90′
🟨 Virgil Ghiță
Mato Miloš 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

4-3-3
1 H. Ravas G
7 M. Miloš D
4 M. Żyro D
15 Juan Ibiza D
92 Fábio Nunes D
22 D. Kun M
25 M. Hanousek M
6 J. Shehu M
47 A. Klimek F
9 Jordi Sánchez F
19 B. Pawłowski F
Bench (9)
8 D. Tkacz
37 S. Kerk
14 A. Cigaņiks
99 I. Rondić
13 E. Terpiłowski
95 P. Stępiński
23 P. Zieliński
88 I. Dawid
74 J. Szymański

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Cracovia

3-4-3
13 S. Madejski G
22 A. Hoskonen D
24 J. Jugas D
5 V. Ghiță D
2 C. Râpă M
18 T. Oshima M
20 K. Knap M
4 P. Jaroszyński M
9 B. Källman F
10 M. Rakoczy F
7 P. Makuch F
Bench (9)
17 M. Bochnak
6 J. Atanasov
38 J. Myszor
19 K. Ogorzały
3 A. Skovgaard
55 M. Stachera
73 P. Zaucha
30 A. Wilk
36 K. Jodłowski

Coach: J. Zieliński

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Kwiatkowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.