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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Lech Poznan

S T S S S

2–1

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,3

2,0

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

6,0

2,0

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

3,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,99 xG 0,42

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 8

0 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lech Poznan 10. · Gornik Zabrze 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.8	9
2	Cracovia	2	2	0	0	+5	+0.6	6
3	Widzew Lodz	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.1	6
4	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.1	6
5	Radomiak Radom	2	1	1	0	+4	-0.1	4
6	Nieciecza	3	1	1	1	+2	+1.0	4
7	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.1	4
8	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
9	Rakow	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.1	3
10	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	-2	+1.9	3
11	Motor Lublin	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.6	3
12	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.4	3
13	Zaglebie	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.1	2
14	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.9	1
15	GKS Katowice	3	0	1	2	-4	-4.2	1
16	Korona Kielce	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.4	1
17	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
18	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.8	6
2	Widzew Lodz	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.0	6
3	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+4	-0.1	3
4	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
5	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.7	3
6	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
7	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
8	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.4	3
9	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
10	Zaglebie	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
11	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
12	GKS Katowice	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.0	1
13	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
14	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
16	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
17	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.1	3
2	Nieciecza	2	1	0	1	+2	+0.7	3
3	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
5	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.1	3
8	Radomiak Radom	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.0	1
9	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.0	1
10	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.2	1
11	Pogon Szczecin	2	0	1	1	-4	-0.2	1
12	Widzew Lodz	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.0	0
13	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
14	Arka Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
15	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.3	0
17	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.