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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Motor Lublin

U T T T S

3–3

Full-time

Cracovia

U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Cracovia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 30%

31%

28%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

47%

Both score Ø 53%

59%

47%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,64 xG 1,46

64% Possession 36%

11 Shots 17

7 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Motor Lublin 13. · Cracovia 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	32	15	11	6	+15	+27.8	56
2	Jagiellonia	32	14	10	8	+14	-5.9	52
3	Gornik Zabrze	32	14	8	10	+7	-3.6	50
4	Rakow	32	14	7	11	+6	+10.3	49
5	Zaglebie	33	13	9	11	+8	-8.7	48
6	GKS Katowice	32	14	6	12	+6	-5.4	48
7	Wisla Plock	32	12	9	11	-3	-2.2	45
8	Radomiak Radom	32	11	11	10	+5	-1.4	44
9	Pogon Szczecin	33	13	5	15	-2	+5.6	44
10	Legia	32	10	13	9	+0	+3.1	43
11	Lechia Gdansk	32	12	7	13	-1	+5.6	43
12	Korona Kielce	33	11	9	13	+0	-3.5	42
13	Motor Lublin	32	10	12	10	-3	-9.9	42
14	Piast Gliwice	32	11	8	13	-1	-0.8	41
15	Cracovia	32	9	13	10	-3	+2.5	40
16	Widzew Lodz	33	11	6	16	-1	+3.9	39
17	Arka Gdynia	32	9	9	14	-23	-8.2	36
18	Nieciecza	32	7	7	18	-24	-9.1	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	GKS Katowice	16	10	2	4	+11	-0.1	32
2	Radomiak Radom	16	9	4	3	+17	+8.9	31
3	Gornik Zabrze	16	10	1	5	+13	+3.9	31
4	Arka Gdynia	16	8	6	2	+4	-0.6	30
5	Pogon Szczecin	16	9	2	5	+9	+7.3	29
6	Lechia Gdansk	16	8	4	4	+12	+6.1	28
7	Widzew Lodz	16	8	4	4	+7	+5.7	28
8	Zaglebie	17	7	6	4	+11	-0.1	27
9	Lech Poznan	16	7	6	3	+10	+16.7	27
10	Jagiellonia	16	8	3	5	+9	+4.0	27
11	Legia	16	7	6	3	+7	+5.9	27
12	Wisla Plock	16	8	3	5	+1	+2.0	27
13	Korona Kielce	17	7	5	5	+6	+3.6	26
14	Rakow	16	7	4	5	+5	+6.4	25
15	Cracovia	16	5	8	3	+4	+7.3	23
16	Motor Lublin	16	5	8	3	+3	+0.0	23
17	Piast Gliwice	16	6	4	6	+2	+3.4	22
18	Nieciecza	16	3	4	9	-11	-3.3	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	16	8	5	3	+5	+11.1	29
2	Jagiellonia	16	6	7	3	+5	-9.9	25
3	Rakow	16	7	3	6	+1	+3.9	24
4	Zaglebie	16	6	3	7	-3	-8.6	21
5	Piast Gliwice	16	5	4	7	-3	-4.2	19
6	Motor Lublin	16	5	4	7	-6	-9.9	19
7	Gornik Zabrze	16	4	7	5	-6	-7.5	19
8	Wisla Plock	16	4	6	6	-4	-4.3	18
9	Cracovia	16	4	5	7	-7	-4.8	17
10	GKS Katowice	16	4	4	8	-5	-5.3	16
11	Korona Kielce	16	4	4	8	-6	-7.2	16
12	Legia	16	3	7	6	-7	-2.8	16
13	Pogon Szczecin	17	4	3	10	-11	-1.7	15
14	Lechia Gdansk	16	4	3	9	-13	-0.6	15
15	Nieciecza	16	4	3	9	-13	-5.8	15
16	Radomiak Radom	16	2	7	7	-12	-10.3	13
17	Widzew Lodz	17	3	2	12	-8	-1.8	11
18	Arka Gdynia	16	1	3	12	-27	-7.6	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.