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League Cup
Referee: J Simpson
Derby
U S S S T
0–2
Full-time
Blackpool
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Blackpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

59% Possession 41%
9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Apr -22 Blackpool – Derby 0–2 11. Dec -21 Derby – Blackpool 1–0

Match report

Derby Blackpool
7′
⚽ J. Beesley 0–1
J. Husband
32′
⚽ J. Beesley 0–2
Half-time 0–2
C. Forsyth 🔁
↦ S. Bradley
46′
L. Thompson 🔁
↦ C. Hourihane
46′
J. Ward 🔁
↦ K. Wilson
46′
Craig Forsyth 🟨
55′
61′
🔁 T. Trybull
↦ S. Carey
61′
🔁 K. Joseph
↦ J. Beesley
D. Brown 🔁
↦ C. Washington
73′
J. Collins 🔁
↦ M. Waghorn
73′
74′
🔁 R. Apter
↦ O. Dale
74′
🔁 D. Tharme
↦ J. Husband
81′
🔁 A. Morgan
↦ M. Virtue-Thick
84′
🟨 Tom Trybull
88′
🟨 Richard O'Donnell
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Derby

3-5-2
31 J. Vickers G
35 C. Nelson D
5 S. Bradley D
6 E. Cashin D
2 K. Wilson M
12 K. Smith M
8 M. Bird M
4 C. Hourihane M
20 C. Elder M
14 C. Washington F
10 M. Waghorn F
Bench (9)
3 C. Forsyth
16 L. Thompson
23 J. Ward
39 D. Brown
9 J. Collins
34 J. Rooney
1 J. Wildsmith
26 D. Robinson
40 M. Bardell

Coach: P. Warne

Blackpool

3-5-2
1 R. O'Donnell G
2 C. Connolly D
20 O. Casey D
3 J. Husband D
24 A. Lyons M
12 K. Dougall M
17 M. Virtue-Thick M
10 S. Carey M
23 D. Thompson M
7 O. Dale F
18 J. Beesley F
Bench (9)
46 T. Trybull
9 K. Joseph
25 R. Apter
33 D. Tharme
8 A. Morgan
39 A. Lankshear
21 M. Ekpiteta
22 C. Hamilton
32 D. Grimshaw

Coach: N. Critchley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Simpson · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.