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Championship
Referee: Lewis Smith
Millwall
T U U S U
0–4
Full-time
Coventry
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Coventry
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
29%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
2,0
3,6
Scored
0,9
2,6
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,33 xG 3,60
63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
6 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Millwall 11. · Coventry 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 0 +7 +1.9 17
2 Stoke 8 4 2 2 +5 +1.3 14
3 Coventry 7 3 4 0 +11 +8.8 13
4 Bristol City 8 3 4 1 +6 +1.9 13
5 Leicester 8 3 4 1 +3 -2.0 13
6 Preston 8 3 4 1 +2 -2.2 13
7 Swansea 8 3 3 2 +2 +0.4 12
8 Charlton 8 3 3 2 +2 +0.8 12
9 West Brom 7 3 2 2 +1 +1.7 11
10 QPR 7 3 2 2 -2 -1.1 11
11 Millwall 7 3 2 2 -2 +1.7 11
12 Birmingham 8 3 2 3 -3 +3.0 11
13 Ipswich 7 2 4 1 +5 +5.6 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 3 3 -1 -5.6 9
15 Southampton 7 2 3 2 -1 +4.0 9
16 Hull 8 2 3 3 -3 -3.4 9
17 Norwich 7 2 2 3 +0 -4.0 8
18 Watford 7 2 2 3 -1 +0.9 8
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 -2 +0.4 8
20 Derby 8 1 4 3 -4 -4.7 7
21 Blackburn 7 2 0 5 -4 +0.2 6
22 Sheffield Weds 8 1 3 4 -7 -4.9 6
23 Oxford 7 1 2 4 -2 -0.2 5
24 Sheffield United 8 1 0 7 -12 -4.4 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Millwall Coventry
Joe Bryan 🟨
17′
29′
H. Wright 0–1
B. Thomas-Asante
42′
🟨 Haji Wright
Half-time 0–1
Billy Mitchell 🟨
46′
53′
🔁 J. Allen
↦ V. Torp
F. Azeez 🔁
↦ L. Cundle
64′
66′
H. Wright 0–2
M. van Ewijk
72′
🔁 E. Simms
↦ H. Wright
72′
🔁 L. Woolfenden
↦ J. Eccles
72′
🔁 K. Kesler-Hayden
↦ T. Sakamoto
M. Langstaff 🔁
↦ A. Emakhu
74′
R. Leonard 🔁
↦ W. Harding
74′
W. Smallbone 🔁
↦ B. Mitchell
74′
81′
E. Simms 0–3
83′
🔁 K. Andrews
↦ B. Thomas-Asante
85′
🟨 Milan van Ewijk
87′
K. Kesler-Hayden 0–4
M. van Ewijk
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Millwall

4-2-3-1
13 S. Benda G
45 W. Harding D
4 T. Crama D
5 J. Cooper D
23 J. Bryan D
49 D. Mazou-Sacko M
8 B. Mitchell M
10 C. Neghli M
25 L. Cundle M
22 A. Emakhu M
9 M. Ivanovic F
Bench (9)
15 M. Crocombe
3 Z. Sturge
6 C. Taylor
7 T. Ballo
11 F. Azeez
17 M. Langstaff
18 R. Leonard
31 R. Bangura-Williams
39 W. Smallbone

Coach: Alexander Francis Neil

Coventry

4-2-3-1
19 C. Rushworth G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 B. Thomas D
15 L. Kitching D
3 J. Dasilva D
29 V. Torp M
6 M. Grimes M
7 T. Sakamoto M
28 J. Eccles M
23 B. Thomas-Asante M
11 H. Wright F
Bench (9)
13 B. Wilson
8 J. Allen
9 E. Simms
21 J. Bidwell
10 E. Mason-Clark
26 L. Woolfenden
20 K. Kesler-Hayden
33 M. Brau
54 K. Andrews

Coach: Frank James Lampard Junior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,89
U
3,39
B ✓
2,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,88
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lewis Smith · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.