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Champions League
Referee: S Gozubuyuk
Qarabag
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,5
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 72%
86%
57%
Points per game
2,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
71%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
57%
29%
Average goals
3,6
2,3
Scored
2,6
1,9
Conceded
1,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,91 xG 0,98
49% Possession 51%
10 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Qarabag FC Copenhagen
15′
🔁 Y. Zague
↦ R. Huescas
1–0 A. Zoubir
Pedro Bicalho
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 V. Claesson
↦ Y. Moukoko
46′
🔁 J. Suzuki
↦ Robert
50′
🟨 Marcos López
69′
🔁 E. Achouri
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
E. Addai 🔁
↦ O. Kashchuk
70′
Matheus Silva 🟨
74′
N. Akhundzade 🔁
↦ C. Duran
78′
T. Bayramov 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
78′
78′
🔁 M. Madsen
↦ T. Delaney
2–0 E. Addai
N. Akhundzade
83′
Toral Bayramov 🟨
85′
Chriso 🔁
↦ A. Zoubir
90′
M. Qurbanly 🔁
↦ E. Cafarquliyev
90′
Nariman Akhundzade 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
2 Matheus Silva D
13 B. Mustafazada D
81 K. Medina D
44 E. Cafarquliyev D
35 Pedro Bicalho M
20 Kady Borges M
21 O. Kashchuk M
15 Leandro Andrade M
10 A. Zoubir
17 C. Duran F
Bench (12)
1 S. Mahammadaliyev
97 F. Buntic
3 S. Mmaee
6 Chriso
7 N. Akhundzade
11 E. Addai
18 Dani Bolt
22 M. Qurbanly
27 T. Bayramov
30 A. Huseynov
32 H. Cabrayilzada
55 B. Huseynov

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

FC Copenhagen

4-4-2
1 D. Kotarski G
13 R. Huescas D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
15 M. Lopez D
11 J. Larsson M
12 L. Lerager M
27 T. Delaney M
16 Robert M
9 Y. Moukoko F
10 M. Elyounoussi F
Bench (10)
31 R. A. Runarsson
61 O. Buur
4 M. Garananga
7 V. Claesson
20 J. Suzuki
21 M. Madsen
22 Y. Zague
24 B. Meling
30 E. Achouri
36 W. Clem

Coach: Jacob Neestrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gozubuyuk · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.