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Serie B

Referee: Giuseppe Mucera

Empoli

T U T T U

1–1

Full-time

Monza

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

80%

20%

Both score Ø 60%

80%

40%

Average goals

3,6

1,6

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Empoli 15. · Monza 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Frosinone	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	Modena	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Palermo	6	3	3	0	+5	12
4	Avellino	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Cesena	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Juve Stabia	6	2	4	0	+3	10
7	Venezia	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Padova	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Monza	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Carrarese	5	1	3	1	+1	6
12	Reggiana	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Virtus Entella	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Catanzaro	5	0	5	0	+0	5
15	Empoli	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Pescara	5	1	1	3	+0	4
17	Bari	6	0	3	3	-6	3
18	Spezia	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Mantova	6	1	0	5	-8	3
20	Sampdoria	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Frosinone	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Modena	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Avellino	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Venezia	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Monza	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Empoli	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Reggiana	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Virtus Entella	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Pescara	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Padova	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Catanzaro	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Mantova	3	1	0	2	-5	3
16	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Cesena	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Carrarese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Sampdoria	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	4	3	0	1	+2	9
2	Frosinone	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Modena	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Carrarese	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Avellino	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Padova	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Venezia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Sudtirol	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Catanzaro	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Spezia	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Reggiana	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Virtus Entella	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Bari	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Pescara	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Mantova	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.