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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
Barcelona
S S S S S
1–2
Full-time
Paris SG
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Paris SG
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,8
2,5
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,27 xG 1,67
47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 9
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Apr -24 Barcelona – Paris SG 1–4 10. Apr -24 Paris SG – Barcelona 2–3

Match report

Barcelona Paris SG
1–0 F. Torres ⚽
M. Rashford
19′
Frenkie de Jong 🟨
32′
38′
⚽ S. Mayulu 1–1
N. Mendes
44′
🟨 Nuno Mendes
Half-time 1–1
Dani Olmo 🟨
57′
65′
🔁 L. Hernandez
↦ I. Mbaye
A. Balde 🔁
↦ G. Martin
72′
R. Lewandowski 🔁
↦ M. Rashford
72′
M. Casado 🔁
↦ D. Olmo
72′
72′
🔁 G. Ramos
↦ F. Ruiz
Marc Casadó 🟨
78′
M. Bernal 🔁
↦ Pedri
79′
80′
🔁 Lee Kang-In
↦ S. Mayulu
80′
🔁 Q. Ndjantou
↦ B. Barcola
A. Christensen 🔁
↦ E. Garcia
85′
87′
🟨 Achraf Hakimi
90′
⚽ G. Ramos 1–2
A. Hakimi
Lamine Yamal 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
25 W. Szczesny G
23 J. Kounde D
24 E. Garcia D
5 P. Cubarsi D
18 G. Martin D
21 F. de Jong M
8 Pedri M
10 Lamine Yamal M
20 D. Olmo M
14 M. Rashford M
7 F. Torres F
Bench (12)
31 D. Kochen
33 E. Aller
3 A. Balde
4 R. Araujo
9 R. Lewandowski
15 A. Christensen
17 M. Casado
22 M. Bernal
26 J. Torrents
27 D. Fernandez
28 R. Bardghji
29 T. Fernandez

Coach: Hansi Flick

Paris SG

4-3-3
30 L. Chevalier G
2 A. Hakimi D
6 I. Zabarnyi D
51 W. Pacho D
25 N. Mendes D
33 W. Zaire-Emery M
17 Vitinha M
8 F. Ruiz M
49 I. Mbaye F
24 S. Mayulu F
29 B. Barcola F
Bench (8)
89 R. Marin
39 M. Safonov
4 L. Beraldo
9 G. Ramos
19 Lee Kang-In
21 L. Hernandez
41 M. Jangeal
47 Q. Ndjantou

Coach: Enrique Luis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.