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Champions League
Referee: J Manzano
Monaco
S S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Man City
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
5,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
4,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,45 xG 1,54
29% Possession 71%
8 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Monaco Man City
15′
⚽ E. Haaland 0–1
J. Gvardiol
1–1 J. Teze ⚽
K. Diatta
18′
K. Ouattara 🔁
↦ Vanderson
22′
39′
🟨 Gianluigi Donnarumma
44′
⚽ E. Haaland 1–2
N. O'Reilly
Half-time 1–2
57′
🟨 Rodri
61′
🔁 Nico
↦ Rodri
61′
🔁 Savinho
↦ J. Doku
Krépin Diatta 🟨
63′
S. Idumbo 🔁
↦ A. Fati
64′
73′
🔁 M. Nunes
↦ J. Stones
M. Biereth 🔁
↦ F. Balogun
82′
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ M. Salisu
82′
P. Cabral 🔁
↦ M. Coulibaly
82′
Eric Dier ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
87′
88′
🟨 Bernardo Silva
89′
🟨 Nico González
2–2 E. Dier ⚽
90′
94′
🟨 Savinho
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Monaco

3-4-2-1
16 P. Kohn G
5 T. Kehrer D
3 E. Dier D
22 M. Salisu D
2 Vanderson M
28 M. Coulibaly M
4 J. Teze M
27 K. Diatta M
11 M. Akliouche F
31 A. Fati F
9 F. Balogun F
Bench (9)
40 J. Stawiecki
50 Y. Lienard
12 Caio Henrique
14 M. Biereth
17 S. Idumbo
18 T. Minamino
19 G. Ilenikhena
20 K. Ouattara
43 P. Cabral

Coach: Sebastien Pocognoli

Man City

4-1-4-1
25 G. Donnarumma G
5 J. Stones D
3 R. Dias D
24 J. Gvardiol D
33 N. O'Reilly D
16 Rodri M
20 B. Silva M
4 T. Reijnders M
47 P. Foden M
11 J. Doku M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (10)
1 J. Trafford
13 M. Bettinelli
6 N. Ake
8 M. Kovacic
14 Nico
26 Savinho
27 M. Nunes
52 O. Bobb
63 D. Mukasa
82 R. Lewis

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Manzano · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.