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Eliteserien
Referee: Daniel Higraff
Sarpsborg 08
U S T S T
0–2
Full-time
Fredrikstad
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
5,5
2,2
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
3,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 35%
33%
37%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
70%
41%
Both score Ø 59%
70%
48%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,06 xG 0,59
56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 6
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 9. · Fredrikstad 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 27 19 5 3 +33 +24.1 62
2 Bodo/Glimt 27 19 4 4 +46 +41.0 61
3 Brann 27 16 4 7 +11 +22.4 52
4 Tromso 27 16 3 8 +12 +9.1 51
5 Valerenga 27 12 4 11 +1 -7.5 40
6 Fredrikstad 27 10 9 8 +7 -2.7 39
7 Sandefjord 27 12 3 12 +6 -5.6 39
8 Rosenborg 27 9 9 9 -3 +1.7 36
9 Sarpsborg 08 27 9 8 10 -4 +7.6 35
10 KFUM Oslo 27 8 10 9 +4 +11.8 34
11 Ham-Kam 27 9 7 11 -5 -12.1 34
12 Molde 27 10 3 14 -1 +4.6 33
13 Kristiansund 27 8 7 12 -21 -18.9 31
14 Bryne 27 7 7 13 -14 -7.5 28
15 Stromsgodset 27 6 2 19 -24 -23.5 20
16 Haugesund 27 2 3 22 -48 -44.4 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Fredrikstad
Half-time 0–1
53′
D. Eid 0–1
S. Sorlokk
55′
🟨 Ulrik Fredriksen
J. Berget 🔁
↦ S. Christiansen
64′
69′
🟨 Daniel Eid
Jo Inge Berget 🟨
70′
74′
🔁 S. Molde
↦ S. Kvile
78′
🟨 Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
S. Gudjohnsen 🔁
↦ M. Opoku
80′
N. Sandberg 🔁
↦ M. Jeahze
80′
E. Wichne 🔁
↦ M. Odegaard
80′
87′
L. Owusu 0–2
O. Ohlenschlaeger
90′
🔁 K. Okpaleke
↦ J. Bjartalid
90′
🔁 L. Begby
↦ H. Skogvold
A. Trondsen 🔁
↦ A. Sher
96′
96′
🔁 S. Rafn
↦ O. Ohlenschlaeger
Eirik Wichne 🟨
98′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ndiaye G
5 M. Odegaard D
13 B. Utvik D
2 M. Koch D
3 M. Jeahze D
8 S. Christiansen M
6 A. Sher M
28 S. Sorli M
33 A. Nibe M
15 M. Opoku
11 D. Karlsbakk F
Bench (9)
31 H. Jenssen
4 A. Trondsen
14 J. Berget
19 S. Gudjohnsen
20 P. Reinhardsen
22 V. E. Halvorsen
23 N. Sandberg
26 D. Job
32 E. Wichne

Coach: Sander Nyland

Fredrikstad

3-5-2
77 M. Borsheim G
17 S. Kvile D
12 U. Fredriksen D
22 M. Woledzi D
16 D. Eid M
20 O. Ohlenschlaeger M
6 L. Owusu M
19 R. R. Shein M
13 S. Sorlokk
14 J. Bjartalid F
23 H. Skogvold F
Bench (8)
1 O. Ovretveit
2 K. Okpaleke
4 S. Molde
5 S. Rafn
18 L. Begby
21 F. Yrga-Alem
24 T. Engebakken
40 E. Granaas

Coach: Andreas Hagen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Higraff · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.