Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

League Cup

Referee: G Eltringham

Middlesbrough

S S S T U

0–5

Full-time

Stoke

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Middlesbrough Stoke

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

5 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Middlesbrough 5. · Stoke 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Watford	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Tranmere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Preston	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Barrow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	QPR	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Walsall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Grimsby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Tranmere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Swansea	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Preston	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Barrow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Shrewsbury	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Colchester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Walsall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Grimsby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
35	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Blackpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Doncaster	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Stoke	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	QPR	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Barnsley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.