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League Cup
Referee: E Duckworth
Walsall
S U S T U
3–2
Full-time
Huddersfield
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Walsall Huddersfield
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
22 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Walsall 38. · Huddersfield 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Stoke 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Watford 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 +3 3
8 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Crawley Town 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Preston 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Cardiff 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Oxford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Wycombe 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Doncaster 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Barrow 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Harrogate Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 AFC Wimbledon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 QPR 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Coventry 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Millwall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Shrewsbury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Notts County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Colchester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Reading 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Bolton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Mansfield Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Walsall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Exeter City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Grimsby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Bradford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Stevenage 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Crewe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lincoln 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Bromley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Cambridge United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Charlton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Peterborough 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Salford City 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Newport County 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Leeds 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Morecambe 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Accrington ST 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Stockport County 1 0 0 1 -5 0
70 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Walsall Huddersfield
16′
J. Koroma 0–1
B. Wiles
22′
🟨 Josh Ruffels
42′
🟥 Matthew Pearson
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Helik
↦ L. Sørensen
46′
🔁 D. Ward
↦ C. Marshall
48′
🟨 Antony Evans
53′
J. Ruffels 0–2
A. Evans
C. Lakin 🔁
↦ R. Stirk
60′
J. Jellis 🔁
↦ R. Maher
61′
J. Gordon 🔁
↦ C. Barrett
61′
1–2 N. Lowe
63′
67′
🔁 T. Iorpenda
↦ B. Wiles
67′
🔁 K. Harratt
↦ J. Koroma
2–2 N. Lowe
J. Gordon
70′
T. Allen 🔁
↦ J. Earing
73′
2–3 M. Helik
own goal
77′
Jamie Jellis 🟨
82′
85′
🔁 P. Jones
↦ A. Evans
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Walsall

3-5-2
12 S. Hornby G
26 D. Okagbue D
24 H. Williams D
30 E. Weir D
2 C. Barrett M
16 R. Maher M
25 R. Stirk M
17 J. Earing M
3 L. Gordon M
37 A. Adomah F
7 N. Lowe F
Bench (9)
8 C. Lakin
22 J. Jellis
10 J. Gordon
21 T. Allen
9 J. Matt
1 T. Simkin
27 D. Thomas
4 O. McEntee
32 G. Barrett

Coach: M. Sadler

Huddersfield

3-5-2
12 C. Maxwell G
4 M. Pearson D
20 O. Turton D
3 J. Ruffels D
2 L. Sørensen M
21 A. Evans M
6 J. Hogg M
8 B. Wiles M
15 J. Headley M
7 C. Marshall F
10 J. Koroma F
Bench (9)
5 M. Helik
25 D. Ward
28 T. Iorpenda
22 K. Harratt
26 P. Jones
33 O. Mrisho
34 C. Ashia
13 J. Chapman
1 L. Nicholls

Coach: M. Duff

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Duckworth · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.