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Serie B
Referee: M Piccinini
Frosinone
S T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Modena
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 16. · Modena 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sudtirol 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Pisa 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Juve Stabia 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Mantova 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Spezia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Reggiana 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Salernitana 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Cesena 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Cosenza 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Modena 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Cremonese 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Catanzaro 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Frosinone 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Sampdoria 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Carrarese 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Bari 2 0 0 2 -3 0
20 Palermo 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Modena
23′
🟨 Mattia Caldara
41′
🟨 Simone Santoro
Half-time 0–0
F. Distefano 🔁
↦ A. Oyono
46′
46′
🔁 G. Defrel
↦ F. Abiuso
G. Bracaglia 🔁
↦ I. Monterisi
53′
İ. Vural 🔁
↦ E. Darboe
53′
1–0 F. Distefano
59′
Filippo Distefano ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
62′
63′
🔁 T. Battistella
↦ Pedro Mendes
63′
🔁 E. Gliozzi
↦ S. Santoro
Giuseppe Ambrosino 🟨
66′
G. Kvernadze 🔁
↦ F. Ghedjemis
68′
75′
🔁 K. Bozhanaj
↦ M. Caldara
José Machín 🔁
↦ M. Çuni
77′
80′
🟨 Fabio Gerli
87′
🔁 E. Duca
↦ A. Di Pardo
93′
G. Defrel 1–1
T. Battistella
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Frosinone

3-4-2-1
31 M. Cerofolini G
4 D. Biraschi D
30 I. Monterisi D
3 R. Marchizza D
21 J. Oyono M
64 M. Cichella M
55 E. Darboe M
20 A. Oyono M
7 F. Ghedjemis F
10 G. Ambrosino F
9 M. Çuni F
Bench (12)
28 F. Distefano
79 G. Bracaglia
8 İ. Vural
17 G. Kvernadze
77 José Machín
1 P. Frattali
13 A. Sorrentino
47 Mateus Lusuardi
90 E. Pecorino
99 F. Sene
23 S. Kalaj
16 L. Garritano

Coach: V. Vivarini

Modena

3-4-2-1
26 R. Gagno G
23 M. Caldara D
31 Eric Botteghin D
19 G. Zaro D
18 A. Di Pardo M
16 F. Gerli M
8 S. Santoro M
29 M. Cotali M
10 A. Palumbo F
11 Pedro Mendes F
90 F. Abiuso F
Bench (12)
92 G. Defrel
5 T. Battistella
9 E. Gliozzi
21 K. Bozhanaj
7 E. Duca
4 A. Pergreffi
33 C. Cauz
78 F. Bagheria
2 G. Beyuku
27 R. Idrissi
1 J. Sassi
6 L. Magnino

Coach: P. Bisoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U ✓
3,20
B
3,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.