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League Cup
Referee: J Miles
Walsall
T S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Exeter City
S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Walsall Exeter City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Walsall Exeter City
40′
⚽ M. Alli 0–1
C. Watts
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 V. Harper
↦ C. Watts
50′
🟨 Reece Cole
56′
🔁 J. Aitchison
↦ L. Oakes
J. Earing 🔁
↦ C. Lakin
59′
L. Gordon 🔁
↦ E. Weir
59′
J. Matt 🔁
↦ C. Barrett
59′
69′
🔁 J. Magennis
↦ Pedro Borges
69′
🔁 J. Fitzwater
↦ P. Sweeney
J. Jellis 🔁
↦ R. Maher
73′
O. McEntee 🔁
↦ A. Adomah
79′
83′
🔁 T. Crama
↦ R. Cole
1–1 J. Jellis ⚽
J. Earing
93′
Ryan Stirk 🟨
94′
121′
⚽ J. Magennis 1–2
J. Earing ❌
penalty missed
122′
123′
❌ I. Niskanen
penalty missed
2–2 D. Okagbue ⚽
124′
3–2 J. Matt ⚽
125′
126′
❌ M. Alli
penalty missed
127′
⚽ J. Fitzwater 3–3
4–3 L. Gordon ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ J. Aitchison 4–4
5–4 J. Gordon ⚽
130′
Full-time 5–4

Line-ups

Walsall

3-5-2
1 T. Simkin G
26 D. Okagbue D
24 H. Williams D
21 T. Allen D
2 C. Barrett M
16 R. Maher M
25 R. Stirk M
8 C. Lakin M
30 E. Weir M
37 A. Adomah F
10 J. Gordon F
Bench (9)
17 J. Earing
3 L. Gordon
9 J. Matt
22 J. Jellis
4 O. McEntee
34 C. Wragg
27 D. Thomas
12 S. Hornby
6 P. Farquharson

Coach: M. Sadler

Exeter City

3-4-2-1
1 J. Whitworth G
26 P. Sweeney D
39 C. Diabate D
3 B. Purrington D
17 C. Watts M
2 J. McMillan M
46 L. Oakes M
14 I. Niskanen M
12 R. Cole F
41 Pedro Borges F
11 M. Alli F
Bench (9)
18 V. Harper
10 J. Aitchison
27 J. Magennis
5 J. Fitzwater
4 T. Crama
40 E. James
45 C. Cummins
15 J. Yfeko
37 S. MacDonald

Coach: G. Caldwell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.