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League Cup
Referee: T Kirk
Barnsley
S T S S T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barnsley Tranmere
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%
15 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Barnsley Tranmere
Jon Russell 🟨
5′
23′
L. Norris 0–1
T. Davies
Kacper Łopata 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–2
47′
S. Taylor 0–2
K. Dennis
1–2 H. Kane
J. Russell
48′
57′
🔁 H. Saunders
↦ L. Norris
57′
🔁 C. Jennings
↦ K. Dennis
K. Lofthouse 🔁
↦ J. Williams
59′
H. Nejman 🔁
↦ J. Russell
59′
61′
🔁 J. Hawkes
↦ S. Taylor
Fábio Jaló 🔁
↦ A. Dallas
66′
V. Yoganathan 🔁
↦ H. Kane
66′
69′
🟨 Jake Leake
A. Marsh 🔁
↦ O. Shaw
82′
Kyran Lofthouse 🟨
86′
89′
🔁 K. Hemmings
↦ K. Morris
92′
🟨 Paul Lewis
2–2 A. Marsh
C. Winfield
98′
121′
J. Hawkes 2–3
A. Marsh
penalty missed
122′
123′
C. Jennings 2–4
3–4 Fábio Jaló
124′
125′
K. Hemmings 3–5
4–5 T. Chapman
126′
127′
R. Hendry
penalty missed
5–5 H. Nejman
128′
129′
R. McAlear 5–6
6–6 B. Cotter
130′
131′
H. Saunders 6–7
7–7 K. Łopata
132′
133′
J. Leake 7–8
8–8 B. Killip
134′
135′
P. Lewis 8–9
J. Shepherd
penalty missed
136′
Full-time 8–9

Line-ups

Barnsley

3-4-1-2
23 B. Killip G
2 J. Williams D
4 K. Łopata D
41 J. Shepherd D
17 B. Cotter M
8 H. Kane M
3 J. Russell M
43 C. Winfield M
38 T. Chapman F
16 A. Dallas F
14 O. Shaw F
Bench (9)
15 K. Lofthouse
32 H. Nejman
12 Fábio Jaló
63 V. Yoganathan
19 A. Marsh
7 N. Cadden
37 N. James
68 J. Bland
1 L. Roberts

Coach: N. Collins

Tranmere

3-5-2
13 J. Murphy G
5 T. Davies D
21 J. Yarney D
3 J. Leake D
23 R. McAlear M
7 K. Morris M
22 P. Lewis M
8 R. Hendry M
20 S. Taylor M
14 K. Dennis F
9 L. Norris F
Bench (9)
19 H. Saunders
18 C. Jennings
11 J. Hawkes
10 K. Hemmings
1 L. McGee
16 C. Merrie
6 J. Turnbull
12 C. Jolley
2 L. O'Connor

Coach: I. Dawes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Kirk · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.