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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Kampka
Bochum
T S T S U
1–1
Full-time
Hannover
U S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bochum Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 41%
31%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
69%
Both score Ø 65%
66%
63%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,22 xG 0,83
41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bochum 11. · Hannover 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 32 20 7 5 +21 +16.6 67
2 Elversberg 32 17 8 7 +24 +8.7 59
3 Paderborn 33 17 8 8 +12 +13.6 59
4 Hannover 32 16 10 6 +16 +12.8 58
5 Darmstadt 32 13 12 7 +14 +1.0 51
6 Kaiserslautern 33 15 4 14 +4 -2.3 49
7 Hertha 32 13 9 10 +7 -1.9 48
8 Karlsruhe 33 12 8 13 -10 -19.7 44
9 Nurnberg 32 11 9 12 -1 +1.5 42
10 Holstein Kiel 32 11 8 13 -1 -10.9 41
11 Bochum 32 10 10 12 +1 +3.7 40
12 Dresden 32 10 8 14 +1 +2.4 38
13 Bielefeld 33 9 9 15 -3 +2.2 36
14 Magdeburg 32 11 3 18 -7 +6.0 36
15 Braunschweig 32 9 7 16 -18 -3.0 34
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 10 4 18 -19 -6.4 34
17 Greuther Furth 32 9 7 16 -21 -10.7 34
18 Preußen Münster 32 6 11 15 -20 -13.7 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bochum Hannover
K. Watjen 🔁
↦ M. Pannewig
15′
Moritz Kwarteng 🟨
19′
Half-time 0–0
F. Alfa-Ruprecht 🔁
↦ K. Miyoshi
46′
46′
🔁 E. Saad
↦ M. Bundu
46′
🔁 K. Oudenne
↦ S. T. Thordarson
50′
M. Nawrocki 0–1
E. Saad
1–1 F. Alfa-Ruprecht
N. Loosli
55′
Oliver Olsen 🟨
59′
G. Holtmann 🔁
↦ M. Kwarteng
62′
63′
🟨 Bastian Allgeier
69′
🔁 I. Okon
↦ B. Allgeier
69′
🔁 W. Taibi
↦ B. Kallman
K. Vogt 🔁
75′
K. Koscierski 🔁
↦ L. Morgalla
76′
77′
🟨 Noël Aséko
Matúš Bero 🟨
79′
91′
🔁 V. Ghita
↦ B. Tomiak
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bochum

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
39 L. Morgalla D
4 E. Masovic D
20 N. Loosli D
13 O. Olsen D
19 M. Bero M
24 M. Pannewig M
23 K. Miyoshi M
21 F. Onyeka M
11 M. Kwarteng M
33 P. Hofmann F
Bench (9)
22 N. Thiede
7 K. Vogt
17 G. Holtmann
8 K. Watjen
16 C. Marshall
29 F. Alfa-Ruprecht
30 O. Keumo
37 A. Crimaldi
35 K. Koscierski

Coach: Uwe Rosler

Hannover

3-3-1-3
1 N. Noll G
17 B. Allgeier D
3 B. Tomiak D
6 M. Nawrocki D
15 N. Aseko-Nkili M
8 E. Leopold M
33 M. Neubauer M
23 S. T. Thordarson M
18 D. Yokota F
9 B. Kallman F
7 M. Bundu F
Bench (9)
30 L. Weinkauf
5 V. Ghita
24 E. Saad
13 F. Roggow
29 K. Oudenne
20 I. Okon
19 W. Kokolo
26 W. Taibi
27 H. Matsuda

Coach: Christian Titz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,97
U ✓
3,85
B
2,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,48
U2,5 ✓
2,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Kampka · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.