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LaLiga2
Referee: Aitor Gorostegui
Granada
S S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Burgos
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
42%
47%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
32%
26%
Both score Ø 19%
16%
21%
Average goals
1,9
1,4
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 7
8 Free kicks against 18
6 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Granada 7. · Burgos 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 19 9 8 2 +12 35
2 Burgos 19 9 7 3 +9 34
3 Alaves 19 9 7 3 +5 34
4 Eibar 19 9 6 4 +6 33
5 Levante 19 8 8 3 +7 32
6 Cartagena 20 9 5 6 +5 32
7 Granada 19 8 5 6 +9 29
8 Andorra 20 8 4 8 +5 28
9 Villarreal B 20 7 7 6 -1 28
10 Sp Gijon 20 6 9 5 +1 27
11 Leganes 20 7 6 7 +1 27
12 Huesca 20 7 6 7 -1 27
13 Albacete 19 6 8 5 -3 26
14 Zaragoza 20 6 7 7 +0 25
15 Tenerife 20 6 6 8 -2 24
16 Oviedo 19 6 6 7 -2 24
17 Ponferradina 20 5 6 9 -8 21
18 Mirandes 19 4 8 7 -4 20
19 Santander 19 4 6 9 -6 18
20 Lugo 20 4 6 10 -9 18
21 Malaga 20 3 7 10 -10 16
22 Ibiza 20 4 4 12 -14 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Burgos
-5′
🟥 Álex Bermejo Escribano
Myrto Uzuni 🟨
5′
5′
🟨 Raúl Navarro
Ignasi Miquel 🟨
28′
1–0 M. Uzuni
José Callejón
41′
Half-time 1–0
Víctor Díaz 🔁
↦ Víctor Meseguer
46′
46′
🔁 Curro Sánchez
↦ Juan Hernández
Alberto Perea 🔁
↦ Jorge Molina
57′
Víctor Díaz 🟨
65′
67′
🔁 Pablo Valcarce
↦ Juan Artola
67′
🔁 Mourad
↦ Álex Bermejo
Quini 🔁
↦ Óscar Melendo
77′
78′
🟨 Curro
Alberto Soro 🔁
↦ José Callejón
78′
80′
🟨 Grego Sierra
80′
🔁 Saúl Berjón
↦ Miguel Atienza
84′
🔁 Borja González
↦ Jesús Areso
Miguel Rubio 🟨
88′
Alberto Soro 🟨
95′
Raúl Fernández 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Granada

4-4-2
1 Raúl Fernández G
30 Ricard Sánchez D
4 Miguel Rubio D
14 Ignasi Miquel D
15 Carlos Neva D
21 Óscar Melendo M
18 N. Petrović M
12 Víctor Meseguer M
9 José Callejón M
11 M. Uzuni F
19 Jorge Molina F
Bench (9)
16 Víctor Díaz
22 Alberto Perea
17 Quini
7 Alberto Soro
8 M. Arezo
33 Adrián López
29 Pepe Sánchez
5 J. Silva
26 Bryan Zaragoza

Coach: Karanka

Burgos

4-3-3
13 José Caro G
19 Jesús Areso D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
20 Grego D
3 Fran García D
6 Raúl Navarro M
5 Miguel Atienza M
22 Miki Muñoz M
15 Juan Hernández F
7 Juan Artola F
10 Álex Bermejo F
Bench (9)
16 Curro Sánchez
8 Pablo Valcarce
9 Mourad
21 Saúl Berjón
2 Borja González
23 José Matos
1 Dani Barrio
14 Unai Elgezabal
4 Míchel Zabaco

Coach: Julián Calero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,21
B
4,74
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,55
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Aitor Gorostegui · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.