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LaLiga2
Referee: Raúl González
Eibar
S U T S S
1–0
Full-time
Oviedo
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Oviedo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 40%
47%
32%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
47%
16%
Both score Ø 43%
53%
32%
Average goals
2,1
1,4
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
0,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 4. · Oviedo 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 19 9 8 2 +12 35
2 Burgos 19 9 7 3 +9 34
3 Alaves 19 9 7 3 +5 34
4 Eibar 19 9 6 4 +6 33
5 Levante 19 8 8 3 +7 32
6 Cartagena 20 9 5 6 +5 32
7 Granada 19 8 5 6 +9 29
8 Andorra 20 8 4 8 +5 28
9 Villarreal B 20 7 7 6 -1 28
10 Sp Gijon 20 6 9 5 +1 27
11 Leganes 20 7 6 7 +1 27
12 Huesca 20 7 6 7 -1 27
13 Albacete 19 6 8 5 -3 26
14 Zaragoza 20 6 7 7 +0 25
15 Tenerife 20 6 6 8 -2 24
16 Oviedo 19 6 6 7 -2 24
17 Ponferradina 20 5 6 9 -8 21
18 Mirandes 19 4 8 7 -4 20
19 Santander 19 4 6 9 -6 18
20 Lugo 20 4 6 10 -9 18
21 Malaga 20 3 7 10 -10 16
22 Ibiza 20 4 4 12 -14 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Oviedo
Álvaro Vadillo 🟨
19′
Half-time 0–0
Stoichkov 🔁
↦ Javi Muñoz
56′
Peru Nolaskoain 🔁
↦ Sergio Álvarez
56′
José Corpas 🔁
↦ Y. Rahmani
56′
61′
🔁 Borja Sánchez
↦ M. Flores
1–0 Peru Nolaskoain
69′
73′
🔁 Viti Rozada
↦ Hugo Rama
73′
🔁 Mangel Prendes
↦ Borja Bastón
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ G. Blanco
83′
Álvaro Tejero 🔁
↦ Rober Correa
83′
85′
🔁 S. Obeng
↦ Luismi
Matheus Pereira 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
25 L. Zidane G
4 Rober Correa D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
30 Imanol García de Albéniz D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Matheus Pereira M
11 Y. Rahmani M
14 Javi Muñoz M
21 Álvaro Vadillo M
9 G. Blanco F
Bench (11)
19 Stoichkov
22 Peru Nolaskoain
17 José Corpas
18 Jon Bautista
15 Álvaro Tejero
3 Frederico Venâncio
16 Ríos Reina
31 Ángel Troncho
2 Chema Rodríguez
1 Ander Cantero
13 Yoel

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Oviedo

4-4-2
1 Q. Braat G
24 Lucas Ahijado D
3 Rodri Tarín D
12 Dani Calvo D
28 Abel Bretones D
20 Hugo Rama M
14 Jimmy Suárez M
5 Luismi M
11 M. Flores M
23 Sergi Enrich F
9 Borja Bastón F
Bench (9)
10 Borja Sánchez
7 Viti Rozada
31 Mangel Prendes
16 S. Obeng
17 D. Aceves
18 K. Koindredi
2 Miguel Llambrich
13 Tomeu Nadal
15 Oier Luengo

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,25
B
5,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,63
U2,5 ✓
1,46
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Raúl González · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.